Bondi's Record Fits Well With Trump's Deportation Plans
What CNN's Top Legal Analyst Said About Trump's AG Pick Might Have Irritated...
Conservative Activist to PA Dems: We're Coming for You
Insane Woman Hacked Up Her Dad on Election Night. Did Trump's Win Pushed...
Trump Has a New Attorney General Nominee
The Trump Counter-Revolution Is a Return to Sanity
ABC News Actually Attempts to Pin Laken Riley's Murder on Donald Trump
What Was the Matt Gaetz Attorney General Pick Really About?
New Legislation Puts the Department of Education on the Chopping Block
Is It the End of the 'Big Media Era'?
A Political Mandate in Support of Pro-Second Amendment Policy
Here's Where MTG Will Fit Into the Trump Administration
Liberal Media Is Already Melting Down Over Pam Bondi
Dem Bob Casey Finally Concedes to Dave McCormick... Weeks After Election
Josh Hawley Alleges This Is Why Mayorkas, Wray Skipped Senate Hearing
Tipsheet

More Polls: Post-Hearings, Little to No Shift on Impeachment

Yesterday, we ran through a few polls showing support for impeachment waning.  Today, a handful of polls show a slight uptick or a status quo scenario, roughly at or within the margin of error, with the Politico/Morning Consult numbers still showing more independents opposed to that outcome than favoring it.  If the needle is moving in a pro-impeachment direction at all, it's barely budging.  Then there's this data from HuffPo and YouGov:

Advertisement


First, note this: "In a new HuffPost/YouGov poll, 45% of Americans say President Trump should be impeached, and 42% that he should not be. Those numbers are identical to a survey conducted a week prior."  Literally zero movement.  Beyond that top-line finding, there are some positive and negative signs for President Trump.  On the darker side of the ledger, a small plurality remains in favor of his impeachment and removal, including a slight plurality of independents (although nearly a quarter of this cohort responded with "unsure."  On the brighter side, a majority -- 57 percent -- either say that Trump did not engage in a quid pro quo involving the withholding of military aid until the Ukrainians announced an investigation into the Bidens, or that they weren't sure if this happened.  This is the most serious misconduct being alleged, and after weeks of public hearings, only 42 percent of voters say they're convinced that it occurred.

And perhaps most importantly, as we've seen in other surveys, alternative options offered by pollsters elicit responses that demonstrate less enthusiasm for impeachment than binary yes/no choices.  In the data above, even if the worst quid pro quo were confirmed by evidence (I think it remains somewhat unproven, and at least partially rooted in supposition, yet still likely), just 40 percent of the public would deem it impeachable -- a lower percentage than those who say they favor impeachment in the same poll.  Forty-two percent responded that it would not be impeachable (though more than half of this group said that conduct would be "inappropriate," including a plurality of Trump voters).  The rest -- including nearly one-third of independents, third party supporters and non voters -- said they weren't sure.  I'll add that very, very few people buy the whole "perfect call!" song and dance.

Advertisement

All in all, the numbers we're seeing in the wake of Adam Schiff's impeachment hearings indicate that not much has changed.  And the thus-far-non-deteriorating previous status quo, while certainly not good for the president, is politically survivable, particularly in battleground states and districts.  Some Democrats insist their impeachment momentum is stronger than ever

Apparently, he didn't have a word with this colleague:

“To hear you say, and you are a Democrat, and you are a liberal minded person; I know you don’t like Trump For the betterment of all of us, in an election year, it’s unwise to tear him from the chair. Is that how you think?” “Yeah,” Lawrence responded. Lawrence predicted a partisan vote in the House on impeachment and no conviction in the Republican-controlled Senate.

That last sentence sounds like a pretty good prediction to me.  Lawrence also brought up the possibility of...a censure.  Imagine that.  She's reversed herself again since giving the above interview (in which she said there would be value in laying down a marker via censure, but no value in removing Trump from office), illustrating the ferocity of the backlash from the Left.  There must be dozens of House Democrats who agree with Lawrence's assessment about impeachment overreach, but who are also nervous about the base.

Advertisement

Join the conversation as a VIP Member

Recommended

Trending on Townhall Videos

Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement