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AI Will Reshape the Economy—And That’s Exactly the Point

AI Will Reshape the Economy—And That’s Exactly the Point
AP Photo/Michael Dwyer

Artificial intelligence is the new technological frontier of this era, as the United States, China, and other nations rush to integrate it into the economy, military, government, and nearly every part of daily life. The most consequential of these areas is the economy, since it shapes virtually every aspect of American life and has the potential for significant positive change.

Gen Z, among others, has expressed significant concern and borderline hatred for artificial intelligence. Many fear it will replace jobs, render college degrees less valuable, accelerate a shift back toward trades, and lead to mass unemployment as companies increasingly rely on AI systems to handle tasks traditionally assigned to interns and entry-level employees.

While there is no doubt AI will be disruptive, the apocalyptic economic scenarios in people’s minds are far from what is likely to unfold in reality. AI is expected to improve the lives of many Americans through new technological advancements, reducing the workload of those who are able to integrate it into their professions, and expanding productivity in ways that can drive economic growth, create new categories of employment, and enhance overall standards of living.

One of the most widespread concerns is the fear of mass job loss, which has been raised at nearly every level of society, including by some AI industry leaders.

While AI is set to significantly reshape the labor market, one leading AI CEO recently outlined a clearer and more promising reality. AI is poised to transform, not simply eliminate, many critical jobs, while delivering substantial gains in productivity, innovation, and economic growth.

"This pattern is familiar. We replaced shovels with excavators, and then we built skyscrapers. We replaced manual arithmetic with calculators, and accountants did not vanish; they did more interesting work, if you can believe it. Each time a tool made a job easier, we didn’t run out of things to do. We found bigger things to do," Ton-That, the co-founder and former chief executive officer of Clearview AI, wrote for the Free Press.

"AI coding tools represent the same kind of leap. You still have to tell the machine what to build. You still have to understand what it’s doing well enough to check its work. And these coding tools still make mistakes when generating code, so you need an experienced software engineer to fix them. The job shifts from typing to thinking, which for most good engineers is the part we love anyway."

Some have described this shift as a “revenge of the liberal arts,” where creativity, critical thinking, and moral judgment are set to take on greater importance in the economy than pure technical skills. Basic technical literacy will still matter for correcting AI and directing the systems, but as barriers to advanced tools fall, deep specialization may become less decisive, opening the door for more creative thinkers to lead innovation.

Now what about the apocalyptic statements people regularly hear from leading AI experts and tech CEO'? For example, Anthropic’s CEO, Dario Amodei, said that nearly 50 percent of entry-level white-collar jobs are set to be “wiped out” within the next five years.

This, Ton-That says, is more of a marketing campaign than a truism.

"AI companies have an incentive to make apocalyptic statements like this," he wrote. "Nothing markets a technology like the suggestion that it’s too powerful to exist. But such pronouncements are making the public needlessly afraid of what is, in fact, a miracle."

Now, to what is becoming a truism, and what Americans should be looking forward to in the AI revolution: thousands of new jobs, entirely new categories of work, and a path forward that will only appear glaringly obvious decades from now.

"It’s always easy to see which jobs go away. It’s almost impossible to see the new ones coming," Ton-That wrote. "If you could, you’d invent the company that creates those new jobs. Still, those jobs inevitably come."

In 1900, about 40 percent of Americans worked on farms. Today it’s just 2 percent. If you’d told someone in 1900 that 95 percent of farmers would lose their jobs to machines, they would have predicted mass starvation and ruin. Instead, we went on to do almost everything we now think of as modern life: We designed cars, wrote software, piloted airplanes, manufactured TVs, made movies, built skyscrapers, and launched satellites. Those last 2 percent now feed the rest of us, and they feed us better than any society in history. Fewer farmers didn’t mean less food. It meant more of everything else.

AI will do the same. 

History has only ever moved in this direction with every new technological advancement, and there is little reason to think that AI will be any different.

So, as AI becomes a greater topic of interest among politicians, the answer is not to halt its progress or let fear slow real advancement, but to ensure American free markets are positioned to rapidly harness and shape the technology. And while the potential downsides dominate much of today’s debate, its benefits to society are set to be even greater, making jobs more efficient, enabling shorter work hours with higher productivity, and helping the United States advance into the next era of human technological ingenuity.

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