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Tipsheet

Hot Air Poll: Cruz Still Cruisin'

Gov. Scott Walker (R-WI) and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) were essentially tied in Hot Air’s recurrent survey last month — although the latter had a slight edge. Roughly three weeks later, however, that same dynamic still holds true. Both Republican hopefuls are garnering roughly one-third of the vote each (with Ted Cruz faring a little bit better):

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As Patrick Ishmael notes, the sample size has almost doubled since April. Simply put, 2946 Hot Air readers participated in Hot Air’s primary survey this week, up from 1782 last month. Despite the larger sample size, however, the poll finds Cruz and Walker are still by far the most appealing candidates in the race — and the early favorites, too. But there are also three other notable developments: Carly Fiorina, who has been tearing it up lately, is still polling fairly weakly, though she has roughly tripled her polling numbers in less than a month. Sen. Rand Paul’s (R-KY) support levels, meanwhile, are moving in the wrong direction. While he earned 6.3 percent of all votes cast in April, today his numbers have slipped to just 5 percent. If he hopes to stay competitive — and relevant — I suspect he’s going to need to convince more engaged conservatives that he’s, well, conservative, especially on issues like national security and foreign policy. Finally, Former Republican Gov. Mike Huckabee, who hoped to gain some momentum after his widely anticipated campaign announcement last week, is still polling at a paltry...0.6 percent. This is a trend he must reverse if he harbors any serious hopes of winning the nomination.

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Otherwise, his campaign will never get off the ground.

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