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Tipsheet

GOP Poll: Perhaps Landrieu Should Start Packing Her Bags...

...for Louisiana, that is. She may not own a home there, but if the latest public opinion survey to emerge from the state is any indication, Sen. Mary Landrieu's (D-LA) electoral fate is already predetermined. The Washington Examiner’s David M. Drucker reports:

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Republican Rep. Bill Cassidy is poised for a landslide victory over Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu in a Saturday runoff election in Louisiana, according to a GOP poll shared with the Washington Examiner.

Cassidy led Landrieu 57 percent to 33 percent in the survey conducted Nov. 24-25 by WPA Opinion Research for Independent Women’s Voice. His victory would bring the number of Republican Senate seats captured in this year’s midterm elections to nine, topping off the new GOP majority at 54 seats. The poll of 500 likely voters had an error margin of 4.4 percentage points.

The internals are much worse for Sen. Landrieu:

• Among men ages 18-54, Cassidy led Landrieu 56 percent to 31 percent.

• Among men ages 55 and up, Cassidy led Landrieu 61 percent to 28 percent.

• Among women ages 18-54, Cassidy led Landrieu 61 percent to 32 percent.

• Among women ages 55 and up, Cassidy led Landrieu 50 percent to 40 percent.

• Among independent voters, Cassidy led Landrieu 67 percent to 23 percent.

Again, this is a GOP-friendly survey conducted by pollsters who may indeed be giving Cassidy an unfair advantage. But even if that’s the case, Sen. Landrieu’s across-the-board, double-digit deficits among key demographics is almost certainly putting this race out of contention. Sen. Landrieu, meanwhile, hasn’t done herself any favors by injecting vileness into the campaign on numerous occasions after her Keystone XL pipeline gambit fell through, or by taking swipes at her opponent for truly laughable reasons.

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Guy, for his part, recently congratulated Team Landrieu for reaching “full meltdown” status. So perhaps in two days' time, don't be surprised if the Democratic moneylenders who abandoned her campaign prematurely -- and for the right reasons -- are finally vindicated.

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