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Tipsheet

Kudlow: Talk of Recession Is 'Nonsense'

Some media reports suggest we're in a recession. Murray Gunn, head of global research at Elliott Wave International, said the economy is about to turn into "the worst recession we have seen in 10 years.” It may even be "worse than the Great Depression,” according to Wall Street Journal economist Peter Schiff.

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The New York Post shared the following statistics as context for these experts' gloomy analysis.

The economic stats:

  • US household debt of $13.3 trillion now exceeds the 2008 peak. That’s due in part to mortgage lending, which is hovering near its decade-ago level of $9 trillion-plus.
  • Student loans outstanding have skyrocketed from $611 billion in 2008 to around $1.5 trillion today.
  • Auto loans, at nearly $1.25 trillion, have exceeded the 2008 total, while credit card balances are just as high now as before the Great Recession.
  • Meanwhile, global debt — a result of central bankers flooding economies with cheap money to lift them out of a funk — is now $247 trillion, up from $177 trillion in 2008. That is close to 2½ times the size of the global economy.

White House Economic Adviser Larry Kudlow, meanwhile, is urging Americans to ignore the ominous warnings.

"I am reading some of the weirdest stuff about how recession is around the corner – nonsense," Kudlow told reporters Tuesday. "My personal view, our administration's view, the recession is so far in the distance I can't see it."

He is especially confident in the business world.

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"This is going to be the best business investment cycle we will have in 20 years," Kudlow continued. "We haven't had one. I am going to be totally nonpartisan here – Dems, Republicans, really since the late '90s – I think now it is resuming. That's a key part of our planning and our own incentives."

The public appears to agree with him. A new poll reveals that Americans trust Trump on the economy. His approval rating on the issue hit a new high and it's not just Gallup telling us that.

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