This is bad, bad news for the Trump campaign: the newest election forecast from FiveThirtyEight has him with only an 11 percent chance of winning the election. The polls-plus analysis is slightly better for Trump, but still has Clinton with an astounding 78 percent chance of victory.
Our latest polls-only forecast gives Clinton a 89% chance of winning the presidency; polls-plus puts it at 78.5%: https://t.co/2uB2oq8m9u— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) August 15, 2016
FiveThirtyEight has accurately predicted the results of the last two presidential elections and the majority of other major elections. Their track record is solid. This is not good for Donald Trump.