What Greg Orman Actually Believes: ¯\_(?)_/¯

Posted: Oct 10, 2014 12:45 PM
What Greg Orman Actually Believes: ¯\_(?)_/¯

Greg Orman's aggressively non-committal "independent" Senate campaign in Kansas has done him well so far - he's got a (shrinking) lead on incumbent GOP Sen. Pat Roberts, despite having had no experience in political office to speak of until this point. On the issues, Greg Orman isn't quite ready to take a stand.

He uses rhetoric like "both parties are half-right."

He uses Obama-like politico-speak like "same old partisan politics" to denigrate Washington, D.C. And his Wikipedia page might as well be called "Orman Has Declined To Take A Position":


That's not exactly a slate of obscure issues. Dodd-Frank, the Keystone Pipeline, cap-and-trade, and Obamacare are all, you know, issues that have been in the news recently.

It will remain to be seen if Orman can continue to be aggressively vague when it comes to actual political issues rather than relying on an outsider-ish image. FiveThirtyEight has found that the Kansas electorate is unique in that there are lots of undecideds:

The FiveThirtyEight model shows something similar. There are more voters unattached to major candidates in Kansas than in the average competitive race.

Put together Orman’s lead and the high level of uncertainty, and our model forecasts Orman to win his race two-thirds of the time. Those are the best odds he’s had this campaign, but that chance is also 10 to 15 percentage points less than other candidates who hold leads of about 4 to 5 percentage points (as Orman does).

Orman has been losing ground, with new polls this week finding Pat Roberts having completely closed the gap. In the space of a few days, Townhall's PollTracker has found Orman's average lead shrink to only 2%: