Jan 8, 2014 – This bravado flies in the face of public opinion, polling trends, and the facts on the ground. … Frank Wolf's seat in Virginia. Wolf has handily won re-election victories for years, despite serving in a swing district. … Comstock has a history of prevailing in close races in battleground Northern Virginia counties.…

Jan 28, 2014 – The neighboring counties of Falls Church City, Fairfax, Arlington and Prince William in Virginia and Howard County in Maryland all … That is the result of Gallup's polling on Obama's job approval in 2013, which showed that 80.8 percent of the residents of the District…

Jan 27, 2014 – But perhaps the ticking clock on his career has freed the Virginia Democrat up to say things that don't necessarily hew the party line … Press national survey shows that perceptions of the healthcare law and its rollout are still negative, reflecting virtually all polling…

Feb 9, 2014 – It was Wednesday February 5, and she had traveled from the confines of the White House to a nearby Virginia high school to lecture … One day prior to her Virginia jaunt a report was released from the Congressional Budget Office (“CBO”) estimating that over the next … Without something to vote “for,” the makeup of Congress is likely to not change much regardless of what current polling data says,…

Feb 7, 2014 – priority number 1 for me, and the campaigns of Terri Lynn Land in Michigan, Thom Tillis in North Carolina and Ed Gillespie in Virginia … are my recommendations for the next three "gives" at this time as other races need clarity from primaries or better polling data.) … Mark Warner in Virginia (*T2) Rep. Shelley Moore Capito v. ? in West Virginia (GOP pick-up almost certain.)…

Feb 2, 2014 – NextGen gave $250,000 to a group called She’s Changed PAC, which bought ads and paid for polling and canvassing for Schlicher. … Steyer spent nearly as much in Virginia as the Republican Governors Association. … And as the Washington Post’s Chris Cilizza wrote, “The key lesson [in Virginia] is that the candidate with the most money usually wins…

Apr 23, 2014 – garbage in the 2012 cycle, and Terry McAuliffe used the issue to define Ken Cuccinelli early in last year's gubernatorial race in Virginia … Recent polling shows a close race -- with Udall's numbers looking shaky, and Obama's popularity in the toilet.…

Oct 26, 2012 – list these battleground states thus (numbers indicate the average lead as of last night): Ohio - O +2.1 Florida - R +1.7 Virginia … Early polling has begun in many states - more than 30 have some form of allowing its citizens to vote before the official election … I voted in Virginia last week, so feel free to take me off your robo-call list.…

Oct 25, 2012 – But post-debate polling shows Romney ahead in Florida and tied in Virginia. … National Journal's Major Garrett reported last week that Obama strategist David Plouffe omitted Florida and Virginia in a list of key … In addition, polling shows Romney ahead in Colorado, which Obama carried by 9 points last time, and the race closing in Wisconsin,…

Oct 18, 2012 – Plouffe said that Obama remains strong in all four states, but he would not discuss the specifics of internal polling or voter-contact … Then again, for what it's worth, Democrat-leaning PPP says it didn't detect any Obama bounce in a full day of polling on Wednesday. … UPDATE - Romney held a rally in northern Virginia last night.  …

Oct 17, 2012 – Plouffe said that Obama remains strong in all four states, but he would not discuss the specifics of internal polling or voter-contact … uncharacteristic of Team Obama to concede any terrain, but Plouffe offered no such assurances about Obama's position in North Carolina, Virginia…

Oct 17, 2012 – Rattled by recent polling showing Mitt Romney drawing roughly even with President Obama among female voters, Democrats are making … The state TV buys include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio and Virginia.…

Nov 5, 2012 – No promises, but this may well be my last post devoted to polling before the ultimate poll is taken and tabulated tomorrow.   … The bad news for Republicans is that this lead is diminished from the GOP ticket's five point edge prior to Gallup suspending its polling … His final numbers in Ohio show a 49/49 tie (with good and bad news for both candidates), and a two point Romney lead in Virginia.  …

Nov 5, 2012 – Virginia (13). … Northern Virginia Asians may trend Romney. Romney. Colorado (9). … Recent polling is discouraging for Republicans. But Gov.…

Nov 5, 2012 – Democrats have significant leads in six other races—in Hawaii, Michigan, New Jersey, New Mexico, Washington, and West Virginia—and … Flake has a polling lead, according to Rasmussen. · In the race to replace Sen. … Senator Ron Johnson · Virginia—A presidential swing state, the Senate race here features former Republican Sen.…

Nov 3, 2012 – That's been apparent in early or absentee voting, in which Democrats trail their 2008 numbers in target states Virginia, Ohio, Iowa … (2) Jay Cost, an extremely savvy analyst of polling and election data, believes Romney is "likely to win."   … (4) WaPo also reports that their national polling indicates at least 13 percent of 2008 Obama voters are defecting to Romney this year…

Nov 3, 2012 – Barone, having surveyed all the polling data from every source and all the early voting numbers from all the states, sees Mitt Romney … rolling up 315 Electoral College votes, including the states of Ohio, Virginia, Florida, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, Wisconsin…

Nov 3, 2012 – For my money, the most reliable polling data is the Real Clear Politics polling average. … Worth noting is which polls make up the majority of the Real Clear Politics polling average. … going to miss a lot of older voters, and only 44% of Joseph’s polling sample is 50 or older.…

Nov 2, 2012 – This year there has been a lot more disagreement because of discrepancies in the polling data. … In state after state, like Ohio, Virginia, and Wisconsin, the evidence suggests that Obama's numbers are way down. … Because of the discrepancies in the polling data, no one can say with absolute confidence how this race is going to turn out.…

Nov 1, 2012 – Earlier in the week, one of the oldest and most respected polling firms in America -- Gallup -- produced results based on thousands … Last night, another venerable polling outfit confirmed Gallup's findings with a survey of its own.   … Public polling shows Obama with a large lead, but there's no way to verify that.  …

Nov 1, 2012 – o   And, recent polling has shown Obama leading Independents by just two points when he won them by ten in 2008, according to the exit … just 2 shy of the 270 needed to win the presidency without considering states where early voting data isn’t a available such as “Virginia…

Oct 31, 2012 – Their new release on the state of play in Florida, Ohio and Virginia is no exception.   … This poll suggests Republican turnout will drop six points in Virginia compared to 2008.   … in Virginia.  But Obama "leads" in all three states.  …

Oct 31, 2012 – Tim Nashif, CEO of Gateway Communications, which owns the Hoffman Research polling company, told me via email that he doesn't expect … electoral map, as polls also reveal striking strength for Obama in states that the GOP recently considered must-wins: Colorado, Iowa, Virginia…

Oct 31, 2012 – In Virginia, conservative video sting artist James O’Keefe on Oct. 8 captured on tape Democratic U.S. Rep. … Moran is one of three Virginia congressmen who signed an Oct. 23rd letter to U.S. Attorney General Eric H. … Other election irregularities included “photocopied ballots, altered hours at polling places, a mysterious bag of votes and Finch’s…

Oct 29, 2012 – The state hasn’t gone Republican in the presidential race since 1972, but recent polling shows a tighter race there than most anticipated … last night over at HotAir's "green room" (also be sure to check out Ed's take down of the WaPo outlier poll showing Obama up in Virginia…