Things are looking great for Trump right now, and even the regime media is hinting at a Trump victory. Of course, it’s not a done deal. It’s never a done deal. We have got to get out there and work like we’re ten points behind instead of two or three points ahead. You better get off your fourth point of contact and go vote right now if voting is open in your state and you haven’t done it yet. But all that aside, we still need a fallback defensive position in case Trump loses and a base to go on the offensive if he wins. We must take the Senate, and not by just a little. We need to win it bigly.
If we are forced to pay for our sins as a country by enduring four years of that shrill San Francisco pinko Kamala Harris spewing inanities at us and trying to turn us into a less tropical version of Venezuela, we’re going to need a Senate majority to curb her excesses and her enthusiasm. We’re pretty much guaranteed to win one Senate seat in West Virginia when that state comes to its senses, but mincing moron Tim Walz would be her tie-breaking vote as vice president. That’s a hard no. A Kamala Harris administration with a Senate majority would be the exact opposite of brat.
We also need a real Senate majority if Donald Trump wins, not just 50 senators with JD Vance breaking the tie. You can’t trust Lisa Murkowski. She’s the only species of snake native to Alaska. You can’t trust Susan Collins either. She’s a maple syrup moderate, which I don’t hold against her because she doesn’t pretend to be anything else. She is what she is, and she’s the best we’re ever going to get from Maine. Nor can you trust the invertebrates like Tom Tillises or the gimps like Jim Lankford – gee, thanks for handing Kamala her #1 bogus bipartisan immigration talking point, you goofy tool. Worse, the GOP caucus without the hard-core voices of our 2024 slate might end up being run by John Cornyn after McConnell leaves. This is the political genius who gave Kamala her other big bipartisan talking point by supporting a stupid gun control bill. What kind of senator from Texas supports a gun control bill? The kind who’s going to be a sap and try to “work across the aisle,” meaning he will inevitably get rolled by the Democrats. No thanks.
So we can’t have 51 or even 52 senators in our majority because that won’t really be a majority at all. We need 53 to 55, and that’s doable.
Of course, you’ve got to do the doing.
I’ve reached out to my sources, and this is what the Senate races look like right now according to folks in the know. I don’t give names, and you should take what I say for what you think it might be worth. I’m trying to be objective here, and sometimes being objective means saying things that you don’t want to hear. Conversely, when I hear things that I want to hear I instantly become suspicious. For better or worse, I’m a little bit suspicious right now because I’m hearing some pretty good things.
First, the holds. In my newly adopted part-time home state of Texas, Ted Cruz is not going to lose to that gender-freak guy. Rick Scott will not lose in Florida to the non-entity running against him. There’s not going to be an upset in Nebraska. Based conservative Jim Banks will easily win in Indiana. We’re going to hold all our seats. Now, let’s talk about our gains.
As we said, West Virginia is off the table for the Democrats. We’re getting Jim Justice there, and he’s got an awesome dog. That’s 50.
The next most likely is Tim Sheehan in Montana. He will be Number 51. The polling is pretty clear and the experts all agree. It looks like that fake cowboy/farmer/lobbyist-steak-dinner perennial Jon Tester will finally get sent packing to Montana, which will be pretty traumatic considering that, for all intents and purposes, he is a longtime Beltway resident.
I’ve got it on good authority that Bernie Moreno, who is a great guy, is probably going to beat Sherrod Brown in Ohio. Brown has been spending money on his campaign like he’s been spending taxpayer money, which is to say promiscuously, but his numbers are just collapsing. The NRSC has Moreno up by two. It’s not a done deal, but it’s going to be pretty hard for Trump to take the state by about ten points while that communist wins another term. And people in the know about Ohio tell me Moreno is going to do it. That’s 52.
The next guy, Dave McCormick, is especially close to my heart because my family comes from Pennsylvania, because we are both Gulf War veterans, and because we’ve gotten to know each other a little bit over the years. Dave is a great guy with a compelling story and a perfect fit for Pennsylvania. He’s got the momentum, but he’s not quite there yet. He’s running about a point behind. My Pennsylvania contacts tell me that not only is President Trump going to take that state but he’s going to take Dave to Washington with him. That’s 53.
Now it gets harder – well, all of them except West Virginia are hard, but they are doable.
In Wisconsin, the NRSC thinks Eric Hovde is up a point on prog mediocrity Tammy Baldwin. That sounds like crazy talk on the surface, but then you remember that Ron Johnson keeps winning there when everybody keeps writing him off. Hovde is a great candidate. He was terrific in his debate against that sanctimonious Democrat hack. She tried to accuse him of hating on her for being gay, and he pointed out that what he was hating on was Baldwin’s love interest gaming the stock market with insider information. Ouch. Trump is slightly ahead, and we have a good chance at seat number 54 in the cheese state.
In Michigan, Mike Rogers is taking on Elissa Slotkin. She’s a generic lib cat lady with all the usual generic lib cat lady obsessions, except she was in the CIA – as if that’s a selling point. The NRSC is convinced this race is a tie, a total tossup. But if Trump takes the state, he may take Mike Rogers with him. That would be 55.
Now, we’re just getting into the landslide territory because the other races are a lot harder.
I adore Kari Lake, and she’s been hitting her Marxist opponent, Ruben Gallego, hard in Arizona on his scummy divorce antics as well as his general communism. She clobbered him in their debate. As I’ve written before, Kari is running a different campaign this time in that she’s working to rebuild the Arizona Republican coalition that had shattered over recent years while reaching out to others. She told me, “Even Democrats in places like Tucson are telling me they will vote for me and President Trump. They now see that the only way to get a strong economy, a secure border and safe streets is through America First policies.” The polls say she is slightly behind, but the momentum is all for the Republicans right now. An upset here would be spectacular, and don’t think it can’t happen if the GOP has an incredible night. She would be Senator Number 56.
Retired Army Wounded Warrior Sam Brown has been running behind in Nevada, but he seems to have some momentum going into the home stretch. He has sliced into the lead of time-serving hack Jackie Rosen, and he just had a great debate where he really put her in her place. Nevada has been a personal heartbreak to me because I was a big supporter of Adam Laxalt, and it was so close yet so far last time. I would love to see this incredible soldier be Senator Number 57.
Then there are the real long shots. We can’t write them off, but let’s not get our hopes up.
Retired Navy officer Hung Cao is working to make it happen in Virginia. Trump is still behind in that state, so this is a really hard one. It would be a huge upset and require a massive GOP landslide to happen. He would be Number 58.
Nella Domenici would be Number 59 if there is a miracle in New Mexico. The Dems are worried enough to have just made a small ad but for their guy. This is a big reach for Trump, who is not going to win that godforsaken state unless it’s a massive blowout of Mondalian proportions.
And then there’s Maryland with Larry Hogan. I’m not going to lie – I find him incredibly annoying. But Larry Hogan is the best we’re ever going to do in Maryland, and I am a huge believer in saying “Yes” to success. Ronald Reagan used to say that someone who votes with you 80% of the time is not an enemy but an ally. Well, someone who votes with you 60% of the time is not an enemy but a Republican from Maryland, and I’ll take that over a straight-up leftist any day. Hogan is behind in the polls in this hugely Democratic state, but he came from way far behind to win the governorship, and he knows his state. This is a huge reach, but it is not outside the range of plausibility. Imagine having a seat in Maryland as our 60th seat.
My over and under right now, just under two weeks out? 54 seats. Yeah, I’m an optimist, but I think there’s reason to be.
Just don’t get complacent. Things are pretty good now. Everything could go right, and we could have a huge sweep. Everything could go wrong, and we could have another 2022. We don’t control the outcome. We only control what we ourselves do. We control what we give to these campaigns. We control how we volunteer to help. We control if we speak to friends, neighbors, and family about the importance of voting Republican down ballot. But most of all, we control when and how we vote. If you do nothing else, get out there and vote right now if your state allows it. Don’t wait. Don’t dilly-dally. Bank that vote. Go do it right now. Vote for Trump and vote for a Republican senator and congressman. What are you waiting for? Put down your iPhone and go vote.
Comrade Kamala must be kept out of the White House, and we need your help to take it back. Join Townhall VIP right now to get access to my extra Wednesday column, the weekly Stream of Kurtiousness videos every Friday, my Unredacted podcast every Monday, my VIP members-only direct email address, and more! Join now! Use promo code FIGHT for 60% off membership.
Follow Kurt on Twitter @KurtSchlichter. Get the newest volume in the Kelly Turnbull People’s Republic series of conservative action novels set in America after a notional national divorce, the bestselling Amazon #1 Military Thriller, Overlord! And get his new novel about terrorism in America, The Attack!
Join the conversation as a VIP Member