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OPINION

Donald Trump’s Chances of Winning Are Better Than Ever

The opinions expressed by columnists are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Townhall.com.
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AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwelli

I would be so excited to be proven wrong. I mean, I would be thrilled. I would put on a little hat and do a little NYPD dance team dance, singing, “I was wrong, I was wrong! Hooray, hooray, hooray!” That’s what I would do if Donald Trump wins in November. I supported Ron DeSantis for many reasons, but a major one was that I believed Donald Trump was nearly certain to be defeated in the coming election. Well, Donald Trump appears to be doing a lot better right now. I think he’s still more likely than not going to lose, but if I’m wrong, I am thrilled about it.

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Some of my newfound sanguinity regarding Donald Trump’s chances in November is based upon objective facts, like polls. Well, it’s as objective as modern polling can be. But there are other objective factors, like the fact that his opponent, Joe Biden, is a desiccated, corrupt, old pervert who’s leaped over the edge of senility into full-scale incoherence and soiling himself. Everybody knows it, and Robert Hur’s report did him no favors. Sure, the New York Times and the rest of the regime media are trying to spin it as if we have to have a medical degree and a five-year residency in gerontology to assess our alleged president as a drooling, mindless husk. But the people see it, and the people know it. I’m not one of those people who believes that he, Very Real and Serious Doctor Jill, and the minions propping him up are going to just leave the power and prestige of their presidential positions for something as irrelevant to them as the good of the country.

Some of my rationale for thinking that Donald Trump has a better chance than he had a while ago is based on subjective factors. I’m feeling the vibe, and the vibe is more and more Trump-friendly. Look at these bizarre civil lawsuits and criminal frame jobs. Everybody can see what they are. Yeah, you have the worst lawyers in the world – that is, law professors, MSNBC analysts, and people who talk about law on Twitter, who aren’t me and about five other guys and gals – all telling us that these cases are a slam dunk, no-lose, take it to the bank mortal lock for the prosecutors. But they aren’t. It’s manifest nonsense legally, and as we saw in the Supreme Court handling of the one-neat-trick to kick him off the Colorado ballot case. Even some of the liberal judges on SCOTUS are unwilling to completely humiliate themselves to get the trained seals on CNN clapping.

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These cases are objective garbage. They’re nonsense, and everybody can see it. Whatever the hell Alvin Bragg is trying to push is trash. Fani Willis, the gray goose-guzzling cash advocate, has utterly humiliated herself and seems likely to be kicked off this nonsense case, which a different prosecutor would review and perhaps toss in the trash where it belongs. The federal cases are not going to go to trial before the election, despite the newfound right of the government to a speedy trial, which apparently I missed in constitutional law despite all the geniuses on Twitter with a lot of degrees and no clients insisting it is a thing.

The Supreme Court is going to chop up these cases like sushi before the first biased juror sits his, her, or their ample behind down in a DC jury box. This is what happens when you invent crimes and twist statutes that were never meant to persecute political opponents into tools to persecute political opponents. But the fact that these cases are doomed legally is different from their effect on the voters. Obviously, the Democrats think that if any jury in the world passes judgment on Donald Trump then a bunch of Normies are going to get the vapors and refuse to vote for him. But normal people don’t believe in the legal system. They see what’s happening. They understand he can’t get a fair trial in New York, Atlanta, or Washington, DC. They know it’s all a lie. They know it’s all a scam. The objective fact is that his persecutions have made him more popular. Every time they pull this nonsense I’m exponentially more eager to go and pull the voting lever for Donald Trump in November. And I am not unique.

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To win, Donald Trump has to unify the Republican Party and bring in some of those independents. Now, some independents may come over because they calculate that a few mean tweets are much less awful than watching their 401(k)s plummet even more. We all know that 2024 is going to be an economic disaster. It can’t be otherwise. And we’re going to have more international crises, more of a seeping wound of the border, more crime, more perverts in our schools, and – I really hope I’m wrong – a major terrorist attack like the kind I write about in my latest novel “The Attack.” Yes, the gross incompetence of Biden in his merry band of half-wits is going to hurt him.

He also needs to win the Republicans who supported other candidates, and for those of us who supported Ron DeSantis, the hurt feelz seem to be fading. There are still some folks who mistake Yes Ron for Never Trump, but the vast majority of us actually believe that the winner of the primaries wins the nomination – and accept that primaries are mean, being primaries and all. Most will come over. That’s not so clear about the supporters of Nikki Haley, who appear to be largely Democrats or Democrat-adjacent. With her endless emails and horrifying Twitter gaffes aside, she’s doner than done, and South Carolina will be a fork in her. Now, her supporters, both of them, will have to decide whether to stay Republican or stay home.

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Look, Trump is not a shoo-in. He’s still got this huge mass of folks who utterly hate him and will crawl over the remains of a buffet pillaged by Chris Christie to vote against him. At best – best – the election is a toss-up, but a toss-up is infinitely better than a slam dunk for the donkeys. There’s a ton of work to do and a lot of potential black swans, twists, and turns, between now and the election. But one thing is certain. Trump can win. In the words of Jim Carrey in “Dumb and Dumber,” “So, you’re telling me there’s a chance?”

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