Otherwise sane people speculate that Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will resign her post and challenge President Barack Obama for the Democratic nomination in 2012. But Hillary's futile challenge would have a far more damaging effect than that inflicted on Al Gore by persona non grata Ralph Nader in '00. After Dems get through blaming her for Obama's fall '12 defeat, neither Bill nor Hillary would be able to get a table at Fatburger.
Here are the 10 reasons why she won't do it.
10. She's not a fool. If she ran, she'd lose.
The Clintons couldn't defeat Obama when he was an inexperienced freshman senator. But they're supposed to snatch the nomination from him as an inexperienced incumbent President? Puh-leeeze.
9. The rationale behind her candidacy is exactly what?
That Obama is a confused and indecisive commander in chief? That Obama took forever to decide that the Afghanistan War is worth fighting and winning? That Obama made reckless promises to close Guantanamo Bay and to try Khalid Sheikh Mohammed in a civilian court in New York? That, after naively criticizing President Bush's prosecution of the War on Terror, Obama continues nearly all of his policies?
All true. So what? The primary/caucus left-lefties like their Democrats to vacillate on foreign policy. They equate vacillation with thoughtfulness.
8. The Democrats who do the nominating love Obama.
He signed ObamaCare, while President Bill Clinton failed to pull off HillaryCare. Obama passed "stimulus," and thus rewarded government workers who helped him win the presidency. He replaced two left-wing Supreme Court justices with two left-wing Supreme Court justices. Dems blame the undone stuff -- cap and trade, union card check, raising taxes on the rich -- on Republican/tea party resistance to (aka racism against) a black president. What's not to like?
7. Hillary would make Obama spend money to fend her off -- leaving him financially weakened.
With less money in Obama's war chest, a Republican victory becomes more likely. Campaign contributions would flow from Obama and to the Republican, as the lobbyists sense blood and jump to the winning side.
6. A challenge from Hillary would provide scads of anti-Obama sound bites, quips and put-downs -- all deliciously usable.
Imagine the GOP hit ad: (Baritone voice-over) "Secretary of State Clinton warned us about the 3:00 a.m. call."
Pan to a desk clock reading 3:00 a.m. Pan to empty bed. Cut to Obama in sunny Rio teeing off on the ninth hole.
(Voice-over) "She was right."
5. The 1968 analogy is a bad one.
Asymmetrical Politics: Republicans Act Like an Unruly Mob, Democrats Like a Regimented Army | Michael Barone