This year, most people have been focused on the Romney vs. Obama race, but there is also a battle going on for control of the Senate. The Senate is currently comprised of 47 Republicans, 51 Democrats and 2 liberal independents. That means the GOP would need to capture 4 seats for a takeover. Although that may sound like a heavy lift, keep in mind that this year there are only 10 Republicans up for reelection while 23 Democrats/liberal independents have to defend their seats. When you have that kind of spread, big gains are very possible. Will they materialize this time? Looking at the breakdown, a GOP takeover of the Senate isn’t out of the question, but seems unlikely at this point.
12) State: Maine
Seat Currently Held By: Olympia Snowe (R)
Competitors: Charles Summers (R) vs. Angus King (I) vs. Cynthia Dill (D)
Current Ranking: Leans Independent pick-up (75% chance of independent pick-up)
Analysis: Angus King is a popular, former Governor who could conceivably caucus with either party despite the fact that he's probably a little bit to the right of Olympia Snowe. That being said, if you had to bet, King would be more likely to support Harry Reid for majority leader than Mitch McConnell. King has been ahead all along and Dill has no chance. Can Summers catch King? Maybe, but it'll be a tough slog.
11) State: Massachusetts
Seat Currently Held By: Scott Brown (R)
Competitors: Scott Brown (R) vs. Elizabeth Warren (D)
Current Ranking: Toss-up (50% chance of Republican hold)
Analysis: Normally, a popular incumbent like Scott Brown would have nothing to fear from a far left-wing socialist who advanced her career by pretending to be an Indian. Unfortunately, we're talking about a state that sent degenerates like Ted Kennedy and Barney Frank back to Congress year after year. This is a tight, back-and-forth race that still might break either way.
10) State: Nevada
Seat Currently Held By: Dean Heller (R) who took John Ensign's place after he resigned
Competitors : Dean Heller (R) vs. Shelley Berkley (D)
Current Ranking: Edge to Republicans (60% chance of a Republican hold)
Analysis: Heller has consistently been ahead in this race by a small margin, but there are two areas of concern here. The first is that Democrats have been greatly outpacing Republicans in voter registration efforts in the state. The second issue is Harry Reid DRAMATICALLY outperformed his poll numbers against Sharron Angle in 2010. Could Berkley do the same thing? Time will tell.
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