There were a host of political casualties from last week’s Super Tuesday battle, and you can be sure there’ll be plenty more in the coming weeks as slots get filled on who will square off against whom come November. Yet no matter whose name is on the ballot in each state or even congressional district, voters will be sure of one no matter what – President Barack Obama. Despite the White House’s wailings to the contrary, 2010 is becoming less and less about random musings such as “incumbent fatigue” or “blind frustration.” No, this fomented anger is now crystallizing in the minds of many, and it goes straight to the Oval Office’s door.
The president’s ranks are thinning. With Sen. Arlen Specter’s defeat last Tuesday, he became the fourth Democrat in less than seven months to lose a race where Obama became personally vested and involved. An Associated Press analysis went so far to claim Specter’s defeat was perhaps the worst outcome, with the president’s pick losing to another, more liberal Democrat, casting doubts on his influence both in his own party and a key battleground state. Even moderate Democrats such as Sen. Blanche Lincoln (Ark.) found themselves pushing back against Obama’s minions of Labor, and still she failed to come out victorious, forced to compete again in a June runoff.
To put it bluntly, the president has lost all remnants of coattails from his historic victory in 2008. In fact, I’m not sure he still has his jacket left. As the election soothsayer Stu Rothenberg put it last week, it’s only going to get worse for Democrats as the weeks drag on. Rothenberg told Washington Times reporter David Eldridge to expect more Democratic seats once considered “safe” to move into more contested categories. “[I] still think the House is in play," Rothenberg said. "I don't see indications of any great Democratic surge — in fact there are some 70 Democratic seats that are now contested or not safe, to some degree."