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Saturday, October 25, 2008
Wayne Winegarden :: Townhall.com Columnist
Lessons from the Housing Bubble
by Wayne Winegarden
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Will the Dems' health care Christmas Present to America be an improvement or detriment to our health care system?


As the housing boom wore on, successively greater shares of the housing stock were being purchased by borrowers that were not capable of financing the home.  From an economic efficiency perspective, the “productivity” of the money invested in these new houses was falling.  Instead of investing in new technologies that could enhance our efficiency, government incentives drove more and more money toward building houses that could not be sustained. 

Furthermore, many of the construction jobs created by the boom in the housing sector were filled by illegal immigrants, as the work and pay, while not attractive to many Americans, was attractive to this group.  The surge in illegal immigration during the housing boom, and its subsequent drop during the housing bust, is simply a rational response to the capital investments that the American economy was making.

What is troubling for American workers, however, is not the illegal immigration but the skewed capital investment.  Government policies encouraged investment dollars to be allocated toward less productive projects that will not increase worker productivity.  Without productivity growth, there is no income growth. 

The way forward takes time.  Due to the excessive build-up of unproductive homes, we must go through the process of readjusting our capital stock toward more productive uses.  Because real resources were used to build these homes, money that could have been allocated toward projects that would have increased workers incomes and our national wealth, have been wasted.  Luckily, we have already experienced much of the re-adjustment pain, although there is more to come.  Oil prices have been dropping as well, which should offset some of the pain as the affordability of food and gas should improve.

We will be unlucky, however, if we take the wrong lessons from our recent history.  The housing crisis did not occur due to deregulation or a failure of the market.  What has failed is a regulatory structure that promoted “socially responsible” visions above common sense.  Time and time again, history has shown us that chasing the economic dream of a central planner ends with a crisis.  The housing bubble is simply another example.

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About The Author

Wayne H. Winegarden Ph.D. is a partner in the firm Arduin, Laffer & Moore Econometrics.

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From NY
There is much to said here, and each article here on TH raises many issues,but all speak to the same principle of what it means to be an American.

This is the question, all of us who now appear to be the "FRING" want answered, truthfully and honestly.

No one is giving us are right to speak,we the bakers, the candel stick makers, the fabric of our communities, will be silenced, not quite for once and for all, but quite possibly for a very long time.

With that I would urge that each and everyone of us run for office at the local level.


2 SHUBI
You are so right! Your comment is spot on, what peole don't get is that they are not making land anytime soon, and if you have children the prospect of them taking on the "homestead" where ever that might be has been lost in America!

Sell it, loose it, and live happily ever after in a manufactured retirement home in Florida!

Well we now see that this chapter in yet another Social Engineering pamphlet has not really worked out as planned.

Shubi, you rightly mentioned NY and the outrageous speculation that has gone on here in the last 10 years. NYC is one thing but smaller residential neighborhoods have been hit and hit hard by speculators. Take a small cape on a 50 x 100 plot, along with seated in government, mostly one brain cell liberal Democrats, and you got a Mcmansion squeezed in under revision of the zoning codes while adopting a "Master Plan". That's big here in liberal Dem Country!

Outcome; All other homeowners, families just starting out, retired seniors in that neighborhood are now "REASSESSED" , Annually at the inflated value of the MC Manison next door, regardless if it sits empty, over leveraged, in foreclosure, unsold.

So here we sit, with bloated budgets at the local, state and municiable level based on what is nothing more then a derivative swap on property assessment, that yes I have to say it agin , that one brain cell liberal democrates thought would go on for ever.And yes they were supported in this by the rating agencies.












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