"War has started." That was the word from Vladimir Putin, currently prime
minister and informally the latest Tsar of the new-old Russia, who at the
time was speaking directly from the Genocide Olympics at Beijing, that grand
festival of world peace and brotherhood. The ironies abound.
Ah, yes, just what the world needs: another war. And where has this one
started? In the Caucasus between ever imperial Russia and a much smaller but
ever feisty Georgia, which broke away from the old Soviet Union when it
disunited.
The war is over South Ossetia, a province that in turn broke away from
Georgia - and has been struggling for independence or some form thereof ever
since. (North Ossetia remained part of Russia, South Ossetia did so only
informally.) To many of us, Ossetia is a name about as familiar as Bosnia
was in 1914 - before an Austrian grand duke was assassinated while touring
its capital, Sarajevo. And tension began to mount.
At first that, too, was going to be just a localized conflict, one between
the Austro-Hungarian Empire and Serbia. The trouble was going to be ironed
out by Europe's great powers in their collective wisdom. Each in turn moved
to arbitrate, negotiate, fulminate and generally temporize before, alas,
they mobilized. Result: an almost accidental world war, the first of two
that made the last century man's bloodiest.
Madness, madness.
The moral of the awful story: Temporizing can be dangerous to the world's
health. Fail to resolve a crisis soon, and the world could wind up fighting
at length.
Now it's the world's powers - NATO, Washington, the European Union - that
are moving to arbitrate, negotiate, take sides and generally dawdle while
the bombs burst. Meanwhile, casualties mount, refugees flee, bodies litter
the streets, and the communiques give conflicting versions of who was to
blame.
Georgia begins to realize it has overplayed its hand by moving to regain its
restive province. The Russians see their chance, if not to seize Georgia,
then to overthrow its government. The Russians go marching through Georgia;
the Georgians appeal to Washington for help. All concerned grow more
belligerent. This Is Not Good.
Something needs to be done. Right Now. Like ensuring a cease-fire and
getting the warring powers and representatives of those caught in the middle
to start talking instead of fighting. Then a settlement might be worked out,
as eventually it was in the Balkans when the Serbs, Bosnians, Kosovars, NATO
and the Americans found themselves at war.
Someday the Ossetians could enjoy a kind of independence akin to that
eventually won by Kosovo. But that is way down the theoretical road at this
point. Let's hope it's not also a bloody road.
Continued... |