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Friday, May 16, 2008
Larry Kudlow :: Townhall.com Columnist
Striking Out on Energy
by Larry Kudlow
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President George W. Bush and Sen. John McCain went to bat on energy policy this week. And guess what? They both struck out.

Mr. Bush went hat in hand to the Saudis to ask for more oil production in order to bring down world prices. He whiffed. They said no for the second time this year.

ExxonMobil chairman and CEO Rex Tillerson said it’s “astonishing” that Mr. Bush keeps asking Saudi Arabia to pump more oil, rather than working harder for increased oil production at home. Mr. Tillerson called this “terribly upside down,” and went on to say the president should be fighting to open U.S. coastal waters to drilling and production on the outer continental shelf. He correctly wants to end the federal moratorium on such off-shore drilling, where kajillions of barrels of oil and natural gas are being completely ignored.

Motorists are furious with oil at $125 a barrel and a $4 pump price for gas. And they seem to be taking it out on the GOP. That may not be fair, since Mr. Bush does favor a pro-production energy policy that includes off-shore drilling, building refineries, clean-coal development, oil sands, natural gas, and nuclear power. But Democrats in Congress stridently oppose these ideas, as does Hill-Bama on the campaign trail. They want an excess-profits tax. Brilliant.

Nonetheless, the longer the energy stalemate lasts, the angrier voters get. You can see it in consumer-confidence polls that are now hitting twenty-five year lows.

What’s to be done?

Sen. McCain weighed in with a cap-and-trade program that he alleges will solve our global climate and energy problem. It’s a bad idea. It’s really a cap-and-kill-the-economy plan, as well as an unlimited spend-and-tax-and-regulate plan. It’s a huge government command-and-control operation that would make any old Soviet Gosplan bureaucrat smile.

Ironically, the U.S. has virtually the cleanest air of any country in the world. And market forces over the past thirty years have increased all manner of energy efficiency per unit of GDP by more than 50 percent. In fact, according the editorial page of Investor’s Business Daily, U.S. carbon emissions grew by only 6.6 percent between 1997 and 2004, compared with 18 percent for the world and 21 percent for the nations that signed the Kyoto protocol on greenhouse gasses. (Think Europe.)

Then there’s a bunch of scientists who don’t think we have a global-warming problem at all. And many who do acknowledge the threat link it to solar warming, or increased solar activity, rather than carbon.

Cap-and-trade, in other words, may very well be unnecessary. Meanwhile, it will surely reduce economic growth in the years ahead. Continued...

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About The Author

Lawrence Kudlow is host of CNBC's Kudlow & Company

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Typical American businessmen
Bulldog: It may be a little easier than you might think for big oil to fix their prices.

The companies I alluded to, as an example outside of the energy industry, were mainstream American firms, such as Manville, Schuller, Certainteed, and so on, which are also independently audited as the oil companies are. The people who manage and represent them were never regarded as mobsters but very much as all-American business types. Everyone in the industry who bought large amounts of their products knew they fixed prices in various ways, for years and years. For example, price increases would be announced by all the companies about the same time, and then there was often a "shortage" of the products so customers had to be assigned "allocations", and special rates were given to special (large)
customers, ensuring they operated at a competive advantage in the marketplace against smaller customers.

But business was business and no one really cared enough to do anything about it, nor did anyone hold these companies in low esteem. But one day someone saw red and went to court.

Columbus Drywall v Masco Corporation, et all,

and it covered product sales 1999 to 2004, though it could easily have covered much further back. Since this case was heard, the entire market for the defendents' products has changed such that all prices are about 25% lower.

Now that I've seen this, it doesn't seem so unlikely to me that big oil could play a similar game.



Scott: The CEO of Exxon is an important source of this commentary Kudlow just wrote, and, being a familiar company, makes for a good case study as well for a discussion group, meaning what we say about Exxon could likely be said of most energy companies.


10 Largest Crude Oil Producers - 2006
(annual million bbl)

1. Saudi Arabian Oil Co - 3,248
2. National Iranian Oil Co - 1,405
3. Petroleos Mexicanos - 1,332
4. Petroleos de Venezuela - 935
5. British Petroleum - 903
6. Abu Dhabi National Oil Co - 894
7. **Exxon-Mobile Corp - 832
8. Petro China Ltd - 830
9. Nigerian National Petr. Co. - 810
10. Kuwait Ptroleum Co - 803

So everyones' favorite boogie man, Exxon, is No 7 (only US oil company on the list).

Source NRCan Fuel Focus Oct 26. 2007

Also US Crude refining capacity:
1985 15,671 Million bbl / day
2007 17,447

Source US Energy Information Administration, DoE


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