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Tuesday, June 10, 2008
Chuck Colson :: Townhall.com Columnist
Demographic Winter and the Economy
by Chuck Colson
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Was the Copenhagen Global Warming Summit Walk-Out a Win for the U.S.?


It is as if those experts are wearing glasses that will not let them see the connection between demographics and prosperity.

In fact, they are wearing such lenses—their worldviews. Thirty-plus years of “population bomb” rhetoric has caused most people to think that “overpopulation is one of the worst dangers facing the globe.” In fact, as Philip Longman, the author of The Empty Cradle, points out, “the opposite is true.”

As Longman notes in Demographic Winter, no society has both a shrinking population and a growing economy. The two are incompatible. Yet our culture denies the problem.

It could hardly do otherwise: As Demographic Winter documents, the “birth dearth” is largely the product of our values. Clearly, our society believes that individual self-satisfaction—measured in terms of material prosperity—is more important than the creation and welfare of future generations. The irony here is that our material prosperity depends on those future generations.

To solve the problem, we have got to ask ourselves, as I titled my book some years ago, “How now shall we live?” What is the biblical worldview? We need to see the world through new glasses—through God’s eyes.

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About The Author
Chuck Colson was the Chief Counsel for Richard Nixon and served time in prison for Watergate-related charges. In 1976, Colson founded Prison Fellowship Ministries, which, in collaboration with churches of all confessions and denominations, has become the world's largest outreach to prisoners, ex-prisoners, crime victims, and their families.
 
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The Future Belongs To
Those that show up for it. Your single designer child (the carrier of your values) isn't going to have as much of an impact as the multiple children of the more fecund. At least they won't in a democratic (one man/one vote) society.

Also, a society cannot afford to care for its elderly and infirm on a declining population. It is unjust to ask the productive to shoulder an ever greater burden in order to sustain a welfare state. At some point it simply becomes unsustainable. Asking for an unassimilated and hostile immigrant population to do so, as Europe has done, seems particulary ill advised.

Human capital is the most valuable of the world's resources. The ingenuity, drive and intelligence of humanity has a value beyond that of other commodities. The answer is quite simple and central to the Judeo/Christian ethic: "Go forth and multiply"

Theoretical Question
If a person sold widgets to a market that was 1,000 people. And each one sold each widget for $1, and if that person was able to sale to 50% of the market yearly, he would net $50,000 yearly.

If in twenty years, that market shrunk to only 900 people, and his market share remained at 50%, his sales would be down 10%.

This analogy will reflect the world market in 70-100 years. Wealth creation, which is what market captialism is all about needs producers but most of all consumers. Less people means less demand, which in turn means less wealth creation.
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