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Wednesday, March 11, 2009
Austin Bay :: Townhall.com Columnist
The North Korean Tangle
by Austin Bay
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The North Koreans did destroy part of a key nuclear facility. The December 2008 six-nation meeting, however, broke up when North Korea refused to sign a nuclear verification protocol -- an act interpreted by many as a decision by Kim to wait and see if the Obama administration would drop this essential requirement. The Bush administration always backed its carrots with the implicit stick of military reprisal.

North Korea's threat to shoot down South Korean civilian airliners and its plan to test a new long-range missile (couched as a satellite launch) follow the extortion script. The bellicose threats and display of weaponry are a probe of the Obama administration's commitment to allies and its willingness to protect American interests.

North Korea has actually handed the Obama administration an opportunity to stand strong. U.S. and South Korea forces have quietly continued to conduct annual military exercises, which send the important signal that the United States is prepared to back up South Korea in the event of a North Korean attack. That's good.

Japan, however, has exhibited the most spine. After North Korea announced a new missile test, Japan's defense ministry began deploying Aegis destroyers equipped with U.S.-made anti-missile missiles (anti-ballistic missiles) in the Sea of Japan. A spokesman for Japan's Maritime Self-Defense Force said that its defense guidelines permit the interception of any missile (even one allegedly carrying a communications satellite) if it "appears likely" to land in Japanese territory, including territorial waters.

The Japanese remember the 1998 North Korean missile test that "bracketed" their country. They are tired of the extortion racket, which is why they have invested in missile defense. The Obama administration should applaud Japan's decision to demonstrate its defensive capabilities. Of course, this amounts to an acknowledgement by Obama that missile defense makes sense diplomatically and militarily.

The Obama administration needs to continue the six-nation talks. Bush's "python" strategy required the steady cooperation of China. Beijing may be angling for economic assurances that economic protectionists in the United States will resist. China has no interest in a war on the Korean Peninsula. South Korea and the United States are two of China's major trading partners. However, China also wants to make certain the United States doesn't erect trade barriers. President Obama says, "Buy American." China says, "Keep shelf space for Chinese goods." Access to the U.S. market is vital to China. Chinese help in squeezing North Korea is vital.

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About The Author

Austin Bay Austin Bay is author of three novels. His third novel, The Wrong Side of Brightness, was published by Putnam/Jove in June 2003. He has also co-authored four non-fiction books, to include A Quick and Dirty Guide to War: Third Edition (with James Dunnigan, Morrow, 1996).
 
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©Creators Syndicate
North Korea
The situation is simple. The solution is complex and perhaps unobtainable. North Korea is a dictatorship (not an ideology) dependent on its imperial guard and the stupidity of western nations to provide for needed resources when its populace is struggling to survive. Every time there is saber-rattling, we supply food and fuel for the imperial guard protecting its dictator and if a little bit is left over for the common man, then the benevolent leader is praised for his charity. We need to continue to undermine the leadership in North Korea as surreptitiously as possible in hopes eventually the dictatorship will be overthrown. In the interim, we need to infiltrate the population (no easy task due to the police state)with the purpose of eventual sabotage of military installations and assassination of their political and military infrastructure. At least we have the South Koreans who can mingle with the north's population to do this. If a war does come, we would be at least in the forefront of winning it swiftly. Evil regimes (yes, evil) such as this will always require force if they are to be eliminated.

Will You All Get Real
Obama isn't going to attack anybody. The plan is to gut the military and use the money to rebuild the welfare apparatus at home. The stimulus bill already wiped away the welfare reform that Clinton signed into law.

The military has to be pulled back in order to create the vacuum that nature abhors. It's already started with the Chinese playing chicken with our ships in international waters. North Korea will get in on the act and then Iran and probably that boob down in Venezuela. Obama sees America as the problem in the world and will invite attack on us.

What else would you expect of someone that wants to make nice with the Taliban?
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