Tipsheet

Huge Win: Trump Flips Georgia

On Tuesday night, at 10:26pm, Decision Desk HQ called the presidential race out of Georgia for formerly and potentially future President Donald Trump. The Peach State brings with it 16 electoral votes, bringing Trump's current electoral win total to 242 electoral votes to Vice President Kamala Harris' 108 electoral votes. 

The polls and forecasters had predicted a win for Trump in Georgia, with RealClearPolling having had him leading there by +1.3. Nate Silver's final forecast had Trump up by +1 over Harris, though the poll trends had been favoring Democrats from the past week and past month. Nevertheless, Trump still pulled off a win.

Trump looks to be performing particularly well with Independents, as a CNN exit poll showed, which particularly stunned Jake Tapper earlier in the evening. Harris also had the misfortune of underperforming with black voters there. 

Such a win brings with it another key swing state win, as Trump won North Carolina and their 16 electoral votes. While Trump won North Carolina in 2020, he narrowly lost Georgia to President Joe Biden that year, with such a race called days after the election.