Why a Pollster Is Saying the 2020 Results Are Ringing 'Eerily True' to What Joesph Stalin Said About Elections

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Posted: Nov 14, 2020 8:45 PM
Why a Pollster Is Saying the 2020 Results Are Ringing 'Eerily True' to What Joesph Stalin Said About Elections

Source: AP Photo/Andrew Harnik

Until all the votes are counted and all the allegations of voter fraud are investigated, I think it’s too early to declare a winner in the 2020 race. You keep fighting. For now, the legal challenges are hitting snags in the courts. Still, President Trump should keep fighting to the end. We have allegations of dead people voting and ballots being illegally backdated. Everything should be looked at right now. 

Was this election stolen? Well, millions feel that way. The turnout numbers are odd in some states, like Wisconsin, which hit 89 percent. Now, is that figure impossible? No. Wall Street Journal’s Kimberley Strassel did the math, but it’s highly improbable given the turnout rates in the surrounding areas. It would require 900,000 people showing up for same-day registrations. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich was blunter last Sunday, when he said, “I think he would have to do a lot to convince Republicans that this is anything except a left-wing power grab, financed by people like George Soros, deeply laid in at the local level, and, frankly, I think that it is a corrupt, stolen election.” He was commenting on Biden’s call for unity. Yet, he also gave a hat-tip to someone we have written about here: Democracy Institute’s Patrick Basham.


“We believe these people are thieves, we believe the big city machines are corrupt,” the former House Speaker said. “Interestingly Patrick Basham, who's the most accurate pollster, he's British, wrote in a British newspaper...that this clearly was a stolen election, that it is impossible to imagine that Biden outran Obama in some of these states.”

Indeed, Basham quoted Joseph Stalin’s remarks about elections, where the Soviet dictator mentioned something about how it’s not important who votes but how they are counted, which appears to ring “eerily true” with this race. Basham has more in his piece in the Sunday Express, where he first highlighted how his data was again on the money regarding Democratic turnout, the shy Trump vote, and how the president’s law and order approach prevented catastrophic bleeding with suburban women voters. Suburban white women and urban black males were the shy Trump voters of this year. The president drew 10 million new supporters in 2020. He also took aim at the 2020 pollsters as a whole this cycle as well.

“If you count the ballot fraud, most pollsters clearly failed. If you don’t include the fraudulent ballots, most pollsters failed on a spectacular scale,” wrote Basham. Yet, at the end of his column, Basham cites Richard Baris of Big Data Poll who noted something funny about Biden's numbers in the cities, how it lagged behind Clinton's numbers, but shot off to the moon in these four cities. Just take a look at the states in which these cities are located as well [emphasis mine]:

How curious that, as Baris notes, “Trump won the largest non-white vote share for a Republican presidential candidate in 60 years. Biden underperformed Hillary Clinton in every major metro area around the country, save for Milwaukee, Detroit, Atlanta and Philadelphia.”

Robert Barnes, the foremost election analyst, observes in these “big cities in swing states run by Democrats…the vote even exceeded the number of registered voters.” 

Trump’s victories in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin were on target until, in the middle of the night, counting was arbitrarily halted. Miraculously, several hundred thousand votes – all for Biden – were mysteriously ‘found’; Trump’s real leads subsequently vanished.

The protracted, eventual outcome will determine the contemporary relevance of Stalin’s observation. No matter who wins, most pollsters already have lost their credibility and influence.

In Detroit, Biden got 595,170 votes this cycle. In 2016, Hillary Clinton grossly underperformed Obama's 2012 turnout there (595,293), clinching only 519,444. So, right there, the margin is big enough to flip that state. In Milwaukee, Hillary got 288,822 votes. Biden got 317,270 votes in 2020. In Philadelphia, Hillary Clinton did receive a respectable 584,025 votes, which was better than Obama's 557,024 votes showing in 2012, but it wasn't enough to carry the state given the surge in rural counties and Trump splitting with Hillary in the key Philly collar county of Bucks. Biden got 604,175 votes from Philadelphia, plus retook Bucks County to push him over the top. There are also scores of allegations of fraud, but is it true that Biden was underperforming Clinton in other metro areas NOT named Milwaukee, Detroit, Atlanta, and Philly?

Yet, let's look at other larger areas, like New York City, Chicago, Los Angeles, and Dallas-Fort Worth. In New York City, it appears Biden did underperform Clinton. He got 377,608 votes in Manhattan, 514,133 votes in Brooklyn, 412,393 votes in Queens, and 217,835 votes in the Bronx. That's a steep decline in Clinton's support from 2016, where she got 579,013 votes in Manhattan, 640,553 in Brooklyn, 517,220 in Queens, and 353,646 in the Bronx. Yet, in Los Angeles, Biden got 3,001,862 votes to Clinton's 2,464,364 votes comparing 2020 and 2016 results. In Chicago, Clinton got 1,611,946 votes. Biden got 1,712,358 votes in 2020. In Dallas-Fort Worth, Hillary received 749,472 votes between the two counties four years ago. Biden got 1,010,143 votes. So, based on four other major metro areas, yes, Biden underperformed Hillary in New York, but not so much in the three other cities. 

Still, there are allegations of fraud that must be sifted through, and some people no matter what will claim this election was stolen. You can add Basham to that list, along with probably tens of millions of Americans. 

Trump is still very much in 'Hail Mary' territory regarding pulling this out, but it’s no longer about this election. It’s about the next one. If Democrats can get away with these shenanigans this year, do you think they’ll stop? 

I think you all know the answer to that question. You all know the kind of left-wing scum we’re dealing with here. 

Editor's Note: After looking at four other major metro areas, the claim that "Biden underperformed Hillary Clinton in every major metro area around the country, save for Milwaukee, Detroit, Atlanta, and Philadelphia"  isn't 100 percent accurate. As you can see, Biden outdid Clinton in Chicago, LA, and Dallas-Fort Worth. We apologize for jumping the gun here, but late voter dumps do screw with the numbers and ballots are still being counted as we speak. We also have another round of legal challenges from the Trump campaign. We have tweaked the headline as well to reflect accuracy. Bear with us folks, there's a lot of funny business that's been alleged this election cycle, but this definite claim turns out to be anything but accurate. We're willing to update should something seismic occur, but it looks pretty clear based on these vote totals in states that aren't really being targeted for lawsuits by the Trump campaign. Nevertheless, let's see how things play out with the latest round of recounts and lawfare.