Alright, folks. It was fun stomping on the Democrats regarding the Florida early returns. Leah will take it from here soon, but things looked grim this morning for Democrats—and that has not changed. The polls from several states are about to close, but in the Democratic bastion of Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties, it was a “massacre” for Democrats. Larry Schweikart has been tracking the numbers in the Sunshine State and others for a couple of weeks. This morning, the early voter Democratic advantage was wiped out within hours. In Pinellas County, GOP turnout surged to a three-to-one ratio over Democrats. In Palm Beach County, Democratic turnout is underperforming by 13 points. Schweikart continued to put it out there that Florida will be bloody for Democrats.
FL Rs +133,111 or 20,000 more than Trump had at the end of election night 2016.
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
With indies & D flips Trump should have 300,000 out of FL.
FL Rs + 164,466
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
This is a 250,000-300,000 Trump win.
#FL 3pm update R lead now at 143.6k and increasing. When accounting for expected addons from late reporting counties, it could top 300k. Trump should win FL by 5 pts. pic.twitter.com/rtafk48nho
— au ng (@athein1) November 3, 2020
Ds 13 points off 2016 #s in Palm Beach
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
From Adam Briggs:
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
"In addition to the massacre in Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach are now BOTH above “net 0” relative to the share of total votes garnered by Cankles—and its not even 1PM est. Correct: Florida will get ugly—and FAST."
FL Rs+107,966. Just 5,000 from where Trump ENDED election day in 2016.
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
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Guess Dem Underground is holding tight to Pinellas. On election day, now, Trump is already a full point higher than in 2016.
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
By 1 P.M., he was quoting Adam Briggs, who said, “In addition to the massacre in Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach are now both above ‘net zero’ relative to the share of total votes garnered by Cankles [Hillary Clinton]—and it’s not even 1 PM est. Correct: Florida will get ugly—and fast."
Schweikart predicts that Trump will take the state by 250-000-300,000 votes. We shall find out soon.
Leah will have the final results later.
UPDATE: Oh my...
As you can see, Trump is doing way, way better than 2016 in Hispanic and Cuban areas. He's also doing better in majority black precincts. Biden *is* doing better in older and relatively white areas, as you can see. But not by much--and that doesn't cut it in diverse FL
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 4, 2020
Wow! Miami-Dade!
— Reagan Battalion (@ReaganBattalion) November 4, 2020
Trump is now at 450,000 raw votes, he had 260,000 in 2016!
LOL ITS HAPPENING!!!!!!! NYT puts Trump at 95% likely to take Florida with 66% reporting!
— Caleb Hull (@CalebJHull) November 4, 2020
The polls had Biden up several points!
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