The Squad Has a Meltdown Over Pro-Terrorism Encampments Getting Dismantled
New Polling Shows the Left's Climate Change Hysteria Losing Steam
Joe Biden Just Lost Another Battle With His Teleprompter
Biden's Use of TikTok Cited to Support Company's Lawsuit Against the Government
Police Officer Stuck in BLM Nightmare
Rep. Brian Mast Has Perfect Response to Pro-Hamas Activists Ambushing Him
Speaker Mike Johnson Gets to Keep His Job
Prosecutor Leading Stormy Daniels Questioning In Trump Trial Is a Major Biden Donor
Trump Finds Brilliant Way to Sidestep Judge Merchan's Unconstitutional Gag Order
Lloyd Austin Confirms Delay in Aid to Israel: 'We’ve Paused One Shipment of...
Here’s Why This Democrat Rep Thinks NPR Is 'Necessary’ for Americans
Department of Education's Move Forces Jewish Groups to Pull Out of Meeting
Sickening: 'Newcomer' Illegal Immigrant Arrested in Florida for Heinous Crime
The IRA Is Punishing Small Businesses and Putting Cancer Patients at Risk
House Dems Are Asking for Executive Action on the Border, but KJP of...
Tipsheet

"Brett's Notes" on Florida ...

Yesterday, I interviewed Brett Doster, an unaffiliated Florida Republican strategist who is well respected in the state.  The last two cycles, he ran state-wide races:  In 2004, he served as executive director for George W. Bush's Florida campaign, and in 2006, he served as campaign manger for Florida gubernatorial candidate Tom Gallagher.  Doster currently is a media darling in Florida, being one of the few state political experts who is not involved in a presidential campaing... 
Advertisement


Regarding the horserace currently taking place in Florida, Doster implied he believes Giuliani and Huckabee may be starting to fade:  "I think it's close to coming down to a two-man race," Doster says, meaning the race will likey be a McCain vs. Romney contest in Florida -- and possibly beyond.

Though popular Florida Governor Crist may not officially endorse John McCain, Doster tells me:  "The word has kind of gotten out that there is some good will there."

Doster also reminds me that the Republican Primary is a very conservative affair: 
"For your really active Republicans, this is still a very conservative state ... I have a sense right now that conservatives in Florida believe there's only one viable conservative in the race -- and that's Romney."


Doster was also kind enough to give me a quick run-down of the state.  Here's how he sees things breaking down:

Photobucket

Panhandle - This is the region of the state in that includes the westernmost counties.  Essentially, this is still the "Old South," the "Bible Belt," and the "Redneck Riviera."  It includes Tallahassee, Pensacola, and Panama City -- and consists of a lot of Veterans and social conservatives.  Huckabee, Romney, and McCain (because of the Veterans) could each do well here.

Northeast Florida - This is the Industrial area of Florida, and includes Jacksonville.  Look for Romney to do well here.

I-4 Corridor - This northeast-southwest Highway connects Tampa, Lakeland, Orlando, and Daytoa Beach.  This is the real battle-ground, where the candidates are on a pretty even-footing.  In short, this is an area to watch:  If one candidate starts running away with these votes, he will likely win.

Southeast Florida -- This includes Broward, Dade, and Palm Beach Counties.  This area is made up of a lot of transplanted North-Easterners.  Doster believes this is Rudy's area -- and adds that Rudy's strong stand on Israel will help him here.

Southwest Florida - This is the area on the west coast that is south of the Tampa Bay area.  It includes towns like Naples and Fort Meyers.  This part of the state is made up of a lot of transplants from the Mid-West.  Doster believes this part of the state will be good for Romney.

Advertisement

Join the conversation as a VIP Member

Recommended

Trending on Townhall Videos

Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement