In New Statement Trump Urges Americans to 'Fear Not' as He Moves Forward...
They Tried To Kill Trump – Now We’re Going To Fight Twice As...
Are You Kidding Me With This Headline, NYT?
Only One Question Remains Concerning Trump's Assassination Attempt
FBI Identifies Trump's Would-Be Assassin
CBS News Host Makes Insane Remarks After Trump's Assassination Attempt
Explosives Found in Would-Be Trump Assassin's Car: Report
Melania Trump Issues Statement After Her Husband's Near-Assassination
The Latest: Authorities Hold First Press Conference on Attempted Trump Assassination
Righteous DEFIANCE!
‘It Was a Nightmare:’ Witness Describes the Horrific Scene the Moment Trump Was...
The Move That Experts Say Saved Trump’s Life
Biden Mega-Donor Had Just Joked About Making Trump an 'Actual Martyr'
Trump Was Shot at a Rally in Pennsylvania. Here's How Members of the...
Actress Claims Trump Assassination Was Staged
Tipsheet

Final Prediction By UVA's Center For Politics: Hillary Dominates The Electoral Map

The final hours of the 2016 presidential campaign are creeping closer and final predictions from polling outlets across the country have been made. 

According to the University of Virginia's Center For Politics, which is headed by longtime pollster and political scientist Larry Sabato, Clinton is going to dominate the electoral map on Election Day.

Advertisement

The map: 

The explanation:

Despite some wobbles along the way, we’ve favored Hillary Clinton as the 45th president of the United States ever since we did our first handicapping of the Clinton vs. Donald Trump matchup back in late March. The edge we had for her back then has eroded a little bit at the end — we had her as high as 352 electoral votes, and in the final tally we have her down to 322, with 216 for Trump. If this is how it turns out, Trump will fare 10 electoral votes better than Mitt Romney, and Clinton will do 10 electoral votes worse than Barack Obama in 2012 — 11 or 12 if rogue Washington electors follow through on their threat to refuse to vote for Clinton (but we can’t assume that at this time).

The two closest states here are North Carolina and Ohio. For a long time, it appeared that Florida was a shakier state for Clinton than the Tar Heel State, but our sources indicate that the Sunshine State looks somewhat brighter for her now, although both should be tight. Meanwhile, Ohio may be a real Toss-up state. Buckeye history and demography point to Trump, but Clinton’s ground operation could come through for her in the end. If Ohio does vote for Trump while he is losing the White House, it will be just the third time in 31 elections that Ohio will have voted for the loser. We’re picking that to happen.
Advertisement

Will it be a long night? It all depends on Florida.

Florida may tell us a lot about whether we’re going to have a long night or a short one. About two-thirds of voters will likely have cast their ballots early, so the vote count should not take that long. If Clinton wins the state by two or three points and is declared the victor early on, it’ll be hard to find a plausible path to Trump victory. If Trump captures the state, though, then we’ll have to see if her firewall states, like the aforementioned states of Michigan, New Hampshire, and Pennsylvania, as well as Colorado, Nevada, and Virginia, come through for her.

Sponsored

Join the conversation as a VIP Member

Recommended

Trending on Townhall Videos

Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement