The sense is that this is Tim Burns has run a good campaign and now has to overcome the tough demographics of the district; if turnout is low, Burns should win; if turnout is medium, it will be close; and if turnout is high, Democrat Mark Critz should win.
...I’m told not to worry if the earliest returns, heavily from Johnstown, favor Critz; Washington County and the Pittsburgh suburbs should be better for Burns, but their results will probably be reported later in the evening.
Popcorn: Apparently The White House Leakers Have Been Caught
Fewer Tears, Fewer Lies, And More Righteous Anger
Mark Zuckerberg Argues for ‘Universal Income’ In Speech to Harvard Grads