Polling Firm That Showed Francesca Hong Winning by Double Digits Just Admitted It Was All a Joke

Aug 18, 2026 5:00 PM
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Polling Firm That Showed Francesca Hong Winning by Double Digits Just Admitted It Was All a Joke
AP Photo/Kayla Wolf

On August 11, political pundits, politicians, and the media were stunned after Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley pulled out a narrow win over Democratic Socialist Francesca Hong in Wisconsin's Democrat governor primary. Polls showed Hong with a double-digit lead over her competition, and Crowley had even dropped out on July 9, seeing no path forward.

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But after current Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez suspended her campaign, Wisconsin Democrats (WisDems) dragged Crowley back into the race and over the finish line, where he won by 0.42 percent, or roughly 3,200 votes. It was actually the second close election in a week; on August 4, Abdul El-Sayed also won by less than a point over Haley Steves, despite polls showing him with a double-digit lead, too. In LA, the polls showed Karen Bass with a wide margin over Nithya Raman, too.

Now it turns out one of the polling firms that boosted Hong shut down and admitted the entire operation was a joke.

Wow.

Here's more:

A poll claiming Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass was leading Councilmember Nithya Raman by a wide margin — and picking up support from most voters who backed Spencer Pratt in the mayoral primary — was bogus, the company behind the poll acknowledged Monday.

The fake poll by Median Strategies showed Bass leading Raman by nearly 12 percentage points ahead of the Nov. 3 mayoral runoff, and said the results were based on a survey of 560 Los Angeles voters between July 30 and Aug. 5. It said it had a 4.1% margin of error.

But Monday, in response to repeated inquiries from The Times, the company said the purported “poll” was nothing of the kind.

“Median Strategies was created as a short term social experiment to examine how purported polling information could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification,” the company said in an email to The Times. “We are not seeking publicity or attribution for the individuals involved and are declining interviews.”

The phony poll also claimed that 16% of its respondents said they had voted for Pratt, and that of those voters, about 85% were planning to vote for Bass in the general, while about 7% would support Raman.

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That's why the only poll that matters is the one on election day.

But it raises the question of whether or not this rises to the level of election interference.

As someone else pointed out, a social media influencer was arrested and convicted for "election interference" for a meme that told Democrats to vote by text.

Douglass Mackey (a.k.a. Ricky Vaughn) was sentenced to seven months in prison. The sentence ended up being stayed, and the Second Circuit Court threw out the conviction, and acquittal followed. Mackey never served any time. But the process was the punishment, and the message was clear.

How are fake polls not election interference, too?

The only thing we can do is work on get-out-the-vote efforts and make sure Republicans either vote early, by mail, or on election day.

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Editor’s Note: The 2026 Midterms will determine the fate of President Trump’s America First agenda. Republicans must maintain control of both chambers of Congress.

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