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OPINION

Stocks in the News: Petrobras Debt Surges

The opinions expressed by columnists are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Townhall.com.

Stocks in the News is produced by Ransom Notes Radio and Goodfellow, LLC. Crista Huff manages Goodfellow LLC, a website that recommends outperforming stocks using fundamental and technical analysis. 

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Stock number one is: 

Petrobras, (SYMBOL:  PBR) and the headline says:

Cautious Short-Term Outlook Continues – Citi Research

Brazil’s oil & gas company, Petrobras, is expected to suffer a large second quarter foreign exchange charge.  “[W]e estimate Petrobras will have higher net debt than market value by the end of the year,” says Citi Research.

Earnings are expected to increase 22, 7 and 9 percent over the next three years.  Dividend payments are irregular, totaling approximately 3% per year.

The stock is actively falling to eight-year lows, with no price support in sight.

Our Ransom Note trendline says:  SELL PETROBRAS.

Stock number two is: 

Nielsen Holdings, (SYMBOL: NLSN) and the headline says:

Nielsen Set to Join the S&P 500 -- Bloomberg

Information and measurement company Nielsen Holdings will replace Sprint Nextel Corp. in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index after the end of trading today.

Nielsen’s earnings are expected to increase 16, 11 and 10 percent over the next three years.  The dividend yield is 1.8%.

The stock broke out of a medium-term trading range in February, and is currently trading between $33 and $37.  The chart pattern is neutral, but constructive.

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Related:

DEBT STOCK MARKET

Our Ransom Note trendline says: HOLD NIELSEN HOLDINGS.

Stock number three is:

MasterCard Inc., (SYMBOL:  MA) and the headline says:

Barclays Raises Rating & Target Price on MasterCard – Reuters

Barclays raised its price target on MasterCard Inc. today to $650, with a new rating of “overweight”.  The stock has risen from $540 to $600 since we recommended it on Ransom Notes on May 1.

MasterCard’s earnings are projected to grow 15-19% per year for the next three years.  The company has $5 billion in cash, no debt, and a $1.7 billion share repurchase program.

After our May 1 recommendation, the stock rose to a new trading range, then broke out again on Friday, reaching over $600 today.  The chart remains bullish.

Our Ransom Note trendline says: BUY MASTERCARD.


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