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OPINION

Stocks in the News: Petrobras Debt Surges

The opinions expressed by columnists are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Townhall.com.
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Stocks in the News is produced by Ransom Notes Radio and Goodfellow, LLC. Crista Huff manages Goodfellow LLC, a website that recommends outperforming stocks using fundamental and technical analysis. 

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Stock number one is: 

Petrobras, (SYMBOL:  PBR) and the headline says:

Cautious Short-Term Outlook Continues – Citi Research

Brazil’s oil & gas company, Petrobras, is expected to suffer a large second quarter foreign exchange charge.  “[W]e estimate Petrobras will have higher net debt than market value by the end of the year,” says Citi Research.

Earnings are expected to increase 22, 7 and 9 percent over the next three years.  Dividend payments are irregular, totaling approximately 3% per year.

The stock is actively falling to eight-year lows, with no price support in sight.

Our Ransom Note trendline says:  SELL PETROBRAS.

Stock number two is: 

Nielsen Holdings, (SYMBOL: NLSN) and the headline says:

Nielsen Set to Join the S&P 500 -- Bloomberg

Information and measurement company Nielsen Holdings will replace Sprint Nextel Corp. in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index after the end of trading today.

Nielsen’s earnings are expected to increase 16, 11 and 10 percent over the next three years.  The dividend yield is 1.8%.

The stock broke out of a medium-term trading range in February, and is currently trading between $33 and $37.  The chart pattern is neutral, but constructive.

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Our Ransom Note trendline says: HOLD NIELSEN HOLDINGS.

Stock number three is:

MasterCard Inc., (SYMBOL:  MA) and the headline says:

Barclays Raises Rating & Target Price on MasterCard – Reuters

Barclays raised its price target on MasterCard Inc. today to $650, with a new rating of “overweight”.  The stock has risen from $540 to $600 since we recommended it on Ransom Notes on May 1.

MasterCard’s earnings are projected to grow 15-19% per year for the next three years.  The company has $5 billion in cash, no debt, and a $1.7 billion share repurchase program.

After our May 1 recommendation, the stock rose to a new trading range, then broke out again on Friday, reaching over $600 today.  The chart remains bullish.

Our Ransom Note trendline says: BUY MASTERCARD.


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