Stocks in the News: Utilities Prove Not So Utilitarian

Posted: Jun 22, 2013 12:01 AM
Stocks in the News: Utilities Prove Not So Utilitarian

Stocks in the News is produced by Ransom Notes Radio and Goodfellow, LLC. Crista Huff manages Goodfellow LLC, a website that recommends outperforming stocks using fundamental and technical analysis. 

Stock number one is: 

Dow Jones Utility Average, (SYMBOL: DJU) and the headline says:


As interest rates head higher, utility stocks will have increased competition as investors may soon be choosing bond yields over utility stock dividends.  S&P comments, “we do not believe the [utility] sector's above average valuation is justified by its negative 2013 EPS outlook.”

The utility sector, as represented by the Dow Jones Utility Average, had an 18% run-up year-to-date.  It then lost almost its entire year-to-date gains in the last four weeks.

The chart is bearish, and unlikely to recover in sync with the broader stock market.

Our Ransom Note trendline says:  STAY ON THE SIDELINES.

^DJU Chart

^DJU data by YCharts

Stock number two is: 

CarMax Inc., (SYMBOL: KMX) and the headline says:

CarMax First Quarter Results Top Estimates – RTT News

Used car retailer CarMax Inc. reported first quarter earnings of 64 cents, surpassing Wall Street’s estimate of 58 cents.  The company also beat expectations on revenue, operating income and margins, continuing a long-term corporate growth trend.

CarMax is expected to increase earnings per share 11-13% per year for the next three years.  The PE of 21.6 is high, within a normal range of 11 to 22; and the long-term debt ratio is high at 64%.

The stock ran up 36% since breaking past resistance levels in late December, and is now experiencing a pullback.

Our Ransom Note trendline says: STAY ON THE SIDELINES.

KMX Chart

KMX data by YCharts

Stock number three is:

Oracle Corp., (SYMBOL: ORCL) and the headline says:

Uninspiring Fourth Quarter, but Something for Everyone – Citi Research

Database software leader Oracle Corp. disappointed Wall Street with weak fourth quarter numbers due largely to currency headwinds.  License growth was disappointing, but hardware revenues brought an upside surprise.

The company will double the dividend to a current yield of 1.57%, and increase its stock repurchase plan by $12 billion.  In addition, Oracle will move its stock from the NASDAQ to the NYSE on July 15, likely causing near-term selling from index-focused portfolios.

There is no near-term catalyst to launch Oracle shares higher.

Our Ransom Note trendline says:  STAY ON THE SIDELINES.

ORCL Chart

ORCL data by YCharts