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Sunday, January 13, 2008
Salena Zito :: Townhall.com Columnist
The certainty of political uncertainty
by Salena Zito
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PORTSMOUTH, N.H. -- Not much is certain in politics. Not exit polls, forecasts or punditry. Yet one thing that is for certain, coming out of New Hampshire, is that the 2008 presidential race remains very much up in the air.

“Look at what has happened so far," says George F. Will, the conservative columnist. "The very idea that money is all-powerful was struck down with Romney in Iowa and New Hampshire; the idea that organization is all-powerful was struck down by Huckabee.

"And with the Democrats we learned that the Clintons can top momentum in just about eight hours," he added. “So, in other words, just about anything can and will happen.”

Will's comments speak to not just the results in New Hampshire -- where the Barack Obama-Hillary Clinton race came to a stunning (mostly to pundits) conclusion -- but, in a larger sense, to the entire field of presidential candidates. No clear winners have attached themselves to either party’s base.

And that just may be a good thing.

“Change” was the overriding theme in the Granite State. That is, until it came to the winners and losers making their primary-night speeches. From second-placers Mitt Romney and Obama to first-placers John McCain and Clinton, they all avoided using that much-hyped word.

That is probably a good thing, too. At some point -- and the earlier, the better -- this race must become about something.

Political science professor Matt Lebo says to look for more scrutiny on the substance of Obama’s credentials -- especially from the Clintons. “You have already seen that begin with Bill Clinton’s attacks here in New Hampshire right before election night,” he says.

Apparently, those attacks worked. So did emotion: Hillary showed some and, based on exit polls, women in her age-range bought it, in large part because they saw it as a reflection of themselves.

Hillary’s “experience” tag line may also resurrect itself. On New Hampshire’s primary day, the Iranians were reported to have played a dangerous cat-and-mouse game with the U.S. Navy; Clinton’s vote on Iraq may have been on some voters’ minds, providing one more push forward for the New York senator.

Many political soothsayers moan that the Republican Party is in disarray, but why don’t they consider that state of uncertainty a good thing for the GOP?

Many people apply a waiting-for-Reagan standard to each Republican candidate. But they have made Reagan too much of a myth for any candidate to reflect. None of the candidates is perfect. Neither was Reagan. Continued...

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About The Author
Salena Zito is a political analyst, reporter and columnist.
 
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Racism A-plenty: To baseballdoc
RE "how do they attack a black man without appearing racist": Too late to ask, as plenty of black voters have already turned away from the Clintons in response to Bill's "Obama's story is a fairy tale" and Hillary's crack about a president (a white one) having had to pass Martin Luther King's work into law---this was heard as dismissive of Dr King (was covered this morning on Tim Russert). And when Hillary said Obama "does the spade work" they heard that too---her interesting choice of words.

And the Clintons aren't alone. Karl Rove wrote a pro-Hillary article in the WSJ on January 11 in which he called Hillary Clinton "warm", "powerful", and "real". But he was just getting warmed up. He went to to evoke an image of inner-city black men playing basketball on a street corner with his words "Obama's trash-talking is a holdover from his days playing pickup basketball" then he added "at Harvard" to neutralize the racial stereotype. Rove described Obama as dishonest, lazy, and intellectually deficient (gosh, where have I heard that about a black person before? Oh yes, in the segregated world of my youth).

And it goes on. Townhallers constantly say that Obama has nothing going for him but that he is black; if he had taken his distinguished Harvard Law degree into corporate law and made millions, would they still be saying that? And one townhall author the other day described Obama as "grinning". Same old-same old. This is racism, pure and simple. About all that's left is to be told he likes watermelon.

I could be wrong; plenty of folks have been wrong about every fact of this election cycle, so far. But my guess is that black people, who have lots of EXPERIENCE with racism, speaking of experience, will know it when they hear it, and will vote accordingly. I hope with all my heart that they do.

Big Correction
The story about Barak Obamas new "change" tax is on GunnyG's site Noliberalspin.com.
I said I read it on Michelle Malkin, but that was from Gunny.Sorry Gunny and all.
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