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Friday, May 09, 2008
Robert Knight :: Townhall.com Columnist
Planting the Seeds of a Demographic Winter
by Robert Knight
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A lot of people I’ve talked to about this say, “Isn’t it great if the birthrate is going down, because, after all, that’s fewer carbon footprints and less stress on Mother Earth.” They’re not thinking about how much their own care is going to cost when they get older.

And it will be costly. Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security are speeding toward a crash against a fiscal roadblock:  the number of workers to pay for it is shrinking. Not only are we creating fewer kids, but more of the ones we do create are being born out of wedlock, which increases the likelihood that they will themselves be less self-sufficient.

The scientists, economists, sociologists, psychologists and other experts featured in Demographic Winter, which include Nobel laureate economist Gary Becker, Rutgers marriage expert David Popenoe, Harvard’s Nicholas Eberstadt, New America Foundation’s Phil Longman, Family Research Council’s Patrick Fagan, Norval Glenn of the University of Texas, and many others, provide data that show the decline of the two-parent family is at the heart of human decline—globally. And it won’t necessarily help the environment.

Dr. Jianguo Liu, director of sustainability at Michigan State University, notes that “global households are increasing more than the number of people” and thus using more resources. Because of divorce and the rise in single-person households, in 2005 alone in the United States, people used an extra 600 billion gallons of water and 73 billion kilowatts of electricity.

It turns out that the nuclear family is the most environmentally friendly way to house people. Yet the family is under assault by a constant media drumbeat about alternative lifestyles, the illusory “benefits” of the sexual revolution, and the costs of having children. A wire story the other day crowed about a study that says people are happiest in marriage when there are no kids around (it lets the adults be the kids instead).

On top of all that are the scare stories fueled by environmental groups. Stop reproducing! Heck, stop marrying! (Unless you’re gay!) Fewer marriages mean fewer children using fewer resources. We get not only a greener earth, but the end of any pesky sexual “norm.”

It’s hard to escape the propaganda. Even when you turn to a paper’s Home section for gardening tips, you find a screed against the impact of people (read: children) on the planet.

You might be happier if you skip the media altogether and go out and plant a tree, preferably with your kids, your dog and any other carbon-exuding criminals you can throw in.

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About The Author

Robert Knight is a Senior Writer/Correspondent for Coral Ridge Ministries and a Senior Fellow for the American Civil Rights Union.
 
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Boutte
Boutte wrote, "...most of the Mark Steyn-type "Eurabia2 projections are the demographic equivalent of hardcore porn, riddled with elementary errors of over-projection and tendentiousness." What are they?

I agree that industrialization has been shown to be correlated with lower birth rates; however, aren't you omitting the religiosity factor? As you correctly pointed out, Mormons are the group with a high birthrate. Isn't Utah industrialized? Of course it is. Therefore, the primary determinant of childbirth rate may well be the level of religiosity. I would also add the doctrine of the dominant religion of a given group. Mormonism teaches to procreate. So does Islam. Catholicism too but their birthrate is falling fast, perhaps due to a decline in their religiosity.

Given the fanatical level of religiosity and the practice of polygyny in the Islamic world, it seems reasonable to assume that they will continue to have very high birth rates.

I agree with Steyn. If the non-Moslem world does not change its ways very quickly and start following the Mormon example of procreating at a much higher rate, then western civilization will fade away within 40-60 years.

TH is having many technical problems....
TH is having many technical problems....

TH is having many technical problems. I noticed comment pages are experiencing numerous issues. It appears that someone on TH is trying to fix the problems. I posted a comment that I thought TH's re-design was done poorly, but I think that after they get the problems fixed things will be back to normal.
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