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Wednesday, October 07, 2009
Michael Gerson :: Townhall.com Columnist
Immigration and Political Suicide
by Michael Gerson
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WASHINGTON -- Mel Martinez's recent resignation from the United States Senate was for personal and family reasons. But the departure of the Republican Party's most visible Hispanic leader crackles with political symbolism.

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Martinez does not consider himself disillusioned, but he is "frustrated." "There are lots of Hispanics to the right of you and me on immigration," he told me, "but they think, 'Republicans just don't like us.'" Martinez makes clear that a number of his Senate colleagues were "conservative, but not inflammatory." Other elected Republicans, however, made "pretty divisive use of immigration policy. It is more a matter of tone, of how you talk about immigrants. It has made Hispanics feel unwelcome, unwanted."

In ethnic politics, symbolism matters. And recent Republican signals to Hispanics have often been crudely unwelcoming. During the 2006 congressional debate on immigration reform, Rep. Tom Tancredo, R-Colo., grabbed the Republican microphone to call Miami a "Third World country." The same year, Rep. J.D. Hayworth, R-Ariz., darkly warned of illegal immigrant murderers as a "slow motion nightmare" greater than 9/11. A provision of the House immigration reform bill would have made it illegal for priests, ministers and volunteers to "assist" illegal immigrants -- criminalizing a religious duty. Republican presidential candidates conspicuously avoided Hispanic forums during the 2008 primaries. Conservative shock radio, on its frightening fringes, can be overtly racist, referring to Mexican immigrants as "leeches," "the world's lowest primitives" and diseased carriers of the "fajita flu" who may "wipe their behinds with their hands." Pat Buchanan sells books with this title: "State of Emergency: The Third World Invasion and Conquest of America."

As Martinez points out, many Republicans who oppose his pro-immigration views are not divisive or inflammatory. But other, angry voices crowd them out. As a result, Republican support among Latinos is collapsing. In Martinez's home state of Florida, for example, 56 percent of Hispanic voters voted for George W. Bush in 2004. Four years later, 57 percent voted for Barack Obama.

Now hearings are beginning on another immigration reform bill, with a legislative debate likely to ripen in 2010. For Democrats -- pledged to comprehensive reform but weighing union opposition to a temporary worker program -- the immigration debate will be difficult. For Republicans, it may be an invitation to political suicide.

Some conservatives dismiss electoral considerations as soiled and cynical. They will make their case, even if that means sacrificing Florida, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada and ... Indiana. Yes, Indiana, which had supported Republican presidential candidates for 40 years before Obama captured it on the strength of Hispanic votes. This is a good definition of extremism -- the assumption that irrelevance is evidence of integrity. In fact, it is a moral achievement of democracy that it eventually forces political parties to appeal to minorities and outsiders instead of demonizing them. The scramble for votes, in the long run, requires inclusion.

By 2030, the Latino share of the vote in America is likely to double. Some Republicans seem to be calculating that this influence can be countered by running up their percentage of support among white voters. But this is not eventually realistic, because non-college-educated whites are declining as a portion of the electorate. And it is disturbing in any case to set the goal of a whiter Republican Party. This approach would not only shrink the party, it would split it. Catholics and evangelicals, who have been central to the Republican coalition, cannot ultimately accept a message of resentment against foreigners. Their faith will not allow it.

In considering illegal immigration, many talk appropriately about the rule of law. But there is also the imago dei -- the shared image of God -- that does not permit individual worth and dignity to be sorted by national origin. This commitment does not translate simplistically into open borders and amnesty. It does mean, however, that immigrants should not be used as objects of organized anger or singled out for prejudice and harm. If Republicans head down this dreary path, many could no longer follow.

Which is why the departure of Martinez is unfortunate. Most elected Republicans bring serious arguments and good motives to the immigration debate. Fewer leaders, however, are willing to confront the extremists in their midst. And now one more of those principled leaders is gone.

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About The Author
Michael Gerson writes a twice-weekly column for The Post on issues that include politics, global health, development, religion and foreign policy. Michael Gerson is the author of the book "Heroic Conservatism" and a contributor to Newsweek magazine.
 
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Akagi
And is this the same Kevin MacDonald of CSULB where they tried to fire him and the same one who has put out various racist theories on Judism? I might add he is a professor of Pyschology not political science or history so we can take your claims on his expertise on immigration with a grain of salt.

Prof. McDonald presents evidence from his research on the history of immigration into the US. That organized Jewish organizations have been lobbying for open immigration is no secret . They came after McDonald becasue he has exposed this activity. That directors of Jewish organizations have stated that it is thier intent that America become a nation where white christians become a minority is shameful and disgusting !

I suggest that every reader of this site lookup Prof. Kevin McDonald and read his writings. You will be impressed with his research !

MyOpine
The Democrats will lose seats--the party of the sititng president in the mid-terms usually does (Bill Clinton being an execption in 1998 due to anger over the idiotic impeachment Kabuki theatre the GOP were engaged in). How much, who knows?

Also not a liberal nor a racist. I never said legal Hispanics would not vote for someone willing to enforce the law, they are unwilling to vote for someone they see as bigoted or racist as Tancredo. What percentage of the Hispanic vote did Obama get or did the GOP get in 2006? The great crash in support for GOP among Hispanics came just about the time the GOP bill tried to make it a felony to enter the US illegally and then the defeat of McCain-Kennedy a few years later with all the anti-Hispanic verbage those two bills generated. You think there was no relationship between these events?

I am not saying Obama will win in 2012 either. If you read Buchanan's article here on January 20th of this year he makes the same point--overall, looking at the demographic trend and who votes GOP and who doesn't the long-term success of the GOP is dim, but in the near-term they will win the White House again at some point and they will win the Congress again at some point, but as we get closer and closer to 2050, their prospects get dimmer and dimmer if they continue on the same course. Their market share of their key voting bloc is stable in the mid to high fifties and the overall market size shrinks every year, while the key voting blocs for the Dems get larger and larger. This doesn't bode well for the GOP's future. But remember the Whigs won the White House (1840, 1848) and the House (1834-1835;1839-1843;1847-1849). This isn't about 2012, but 2020, 2030, 2040 and beyond. Are you taking the typical American trait of just looking at the next quarter balance sheet rather than looking at 10, 20, 50 years down the road? That road looks pretty bleak for the GOP--breakers ahead as they say.
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