This week, a new poll from Emerson College showed that former President Donald Trump is leading current President Joe Biden in a 2024 presidential rematch. In previous polls conducted by Emerson, it showed that Biden would win against Trump.
In the findings, 44 percent of respondents said they would support Trump in the 2024 election, while 41 percent said they would support Biden. Ten percent of respondents said they’d rather support someone else. Four percent of respondents said they were “undecided.”
Numbers released by Gallup this week show that Biden’s approval rating for 2022 is underwater. For the year, his approval rating averaged at 41 percent. For comparison, Republican President George W. Bush’s approval rating in his second year averaged better than 70 percent, as well as President John F. Kennedy’s, who was a Democrat.
According to Gallup, Biden’s rating month-by-month in his second year in office “varied little.” Each rating with the exception of one was between 40 and 42 percent. In July, his approval rating was recorded at 38 percent.
Gallup’s write-up noted that Biden’s numbers have tanked from the beginning of his term in office.
Recent ratings for Biden contrast with those at the beginning of his term, between January and June 2021, when majorities approved of him. A summer 2021 COVID-19 surge, the troubled U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, and rising inflation contributed to a loss of support for the president in the late summer of 2021. His job approval ratings have held near 40% since then.
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During Biden’s second year in office, an average 83% of Democrats, 37% of independents and 5% of Republicans approved of the job he was doing. Each of these groups' averages was lower than in Biden’s first year, including an eight-point drop among Democrats, nine points among independents and three points among Republicans.
Biden’s 5 percent approval from Republicans is the lowest Gallup ever measured for a sitting president in any year of their presidency dating back to 1953. Trump’s four years in office and Biden’s two years so far account for eight of the 10 “most polarized years” ever recorded by Gallup.