With less than 24 hours to go until Election Day, the Trump campaign is out with a new memo and arguing Democrats have a turnout problem among key voting blocks.
"With Early Voting closed and Election Day on the horizon, Democrats are facing a massive turnout deficit. In every single battleground state, we see President Trump and Republicans outperforming elections past in absentee ballots and early votes cast. As we dive deeper into the data, Democrats are facing a precipitous decline in urban turnout according to their own 'data experts' and we are tracking an uptick in rural turnout," the memo states.
The campaign is citing concern from Democratic operatives Jim Messina and David Axelrod, who concede turnout isn't a guarantee and that Republican early voting numbers are "scary."
Republican Early Voting Numbers Are Making Democratic Operatives Nervous
— Townhall.com (@townhallcom) November 4, 2024
https://t.co/UlLjMjWqPQ
The campaign is also providing data on the numbers from TargetSmart's Tom Bonier:
Arizona:
Urban turnout is down -385,285 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -170,011 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +14,124 votes compared to this point in 2020
Georgia:
Urban turnout is down -153,846 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -46,732 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +171,837 votes compared to this point in 2020
Michigan:
Urban turnout is down -321.,523 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -204,856 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +55,951 votes compared to this point in 2020
North Carolina:
Urban turnout is down -175,470 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -154,459 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +26,911 votes compared to this point in 2020
Nevada:
Urban turnout is down -191,199 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -126,112 votes compared to this point in 2020
Pennsylvania:
Urban turnout is down -381,519 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -450,802 votes compared to this point in 2020
Wisconsin:
Urban turnout is down -100,733 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -238,452 votes compared to this point in 2020
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For weeks the Harris campaign has struggled to court male voters and needs a better female turnout than 2020 to win.
NEW: CNN's Van Jones says he is "nervous and worried" about Kamala Harris' chances in Pennsylvania.
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) November 4, 2024
"Nothing is making me happy about Pennsylvania."
Jones specifically pointed to poor Philadelphia turnout for Democrats and concerns over Jewish voters.
"Well, I’m just nervous… pic.twitter.com/yci392kMgS
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