Hmm: Elizabeth Warren Edges Scott Brown in New Poll

A new poll released Tuesday night shows Bay State Senator Scott Brown and his Democratic challenger -- Harvard Professor and fake "Native American" Elizabeth Warren -- essentially locked in a dead heat:

According to the latest survey from MassINC Polling Group, Democrat Elizabeth Warren earns the support of 40 percent of voters, while Republican Sen. Scott Brown picks up the support of 38 percent. The 2-point gap is within the poll’s 4.4 percent margin of error.
Voters nationwide appear to be growing frustrated with both presidential candidates as negative campaigning intensifies, but Massachusetts voters are warming up to both Warren and Brown. Tuesday’s poll shows that Warren’s favorability rating stands at 47 percent, a 13-point jump from MassINC’s April poll and a sign that voters continue to learn more about the Harvard Law professor and consumer watchdog. Brown’s favorability rating also increased, albeit by a smaller margin, from 46 percent in April to 50 percent in the most recent poll.

At first glance, the MassINC poll’s D/R/I breakdown of 34/11/49 seems to heavily favor Professor Warren. I don’t think this is necessarily the case. In fact, this ostensibly skewed sample reflects -- almost exactly -- voter turnout during the 2010 special election in which Scott Brown defeated Martha Coakley by a surprising and decisive margin. More importantly, however, the survey reveals -- once again -- that a plurality of Massachusetts voters are still undecided.

Virtually every poll conducted this year suggests the U.S. Massachusetts Senate race -- barring an unforeseen political earthquake -- will come down to the wire. That’s one reason why Team Brown is working overtime to convince the Massachusetts electorate that the policies Elizabeth Warren espouses would, among other things, negatively impact small businesses and stifle economic growth. Appearing on Fox & Friends this morning, Senator Brown excoriated his Democratic challenger in part because unlike President Obama (who did in fact walk back his egregious “you didn’t build that” remark) she’s “doubled down” on her tax-and-spend government-centric ideology. Warren, he explained, believes “we should have more government interference and more government regulation and more taxes.” By contrast, Senator Brown simply does not. “It’s a very clear choice,” he intoned. Watch the full clip, via Mediate: