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Will Florida’s Extreme Abortion Amendment Pass? Here’s What a Poll Is Showing.

Ever since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, pro-abortion activists have worked nonstop to pass radical legislation state-by-state to enshrine the right to kill unborn life in states' constitutions. 

This upcoming election, this type of proposed measure will be on the ballot in several states, including Florida. But, will it pass?

A poll released on Wednesday from Florida Atlantic University (FAU) and Mainstreet USA found that 56 percent of voters in the states support the amendment to protect abortion. However, voters must hit a 60 percent threshold in order for it to pass. 

Predictably, more Democrats than Republicans, and more women than men, support the measure (via The Hill):

Slightly more women said they would vote for Amendment 4 than men, 59 percent to 54 percent. A greater share, 62 percent, of 18- to 49-year-olds support the initiative, pollsters added.

Party voters are much more split on the issue, with Democrats largely in support of the initiative versus 35 percent of Republicans and 59 percent of independents.

“These results reflect growing awareness of the constitutional amendments,” said Luzmarina Garcia, Ph.D., assistant professor of political science at FAU. 

“In April, FAU polled on both initiatives, and at that time, these measures had 49 percent approval, indicating a 7 percent increase over the last four months,” she added.

However, The Hill noted that last month, a poll released by the University of North Florida’s Public Opinion Research Lab found that 69 percent of respondents said they would vote for the amendment, 13 points higher than FAU’s survey.

FAU’s survey was conducted from Saturday, August 10th to Sunday, August 11th, 2024, among a sample of 1055 registered voters, 18 years of age or older, living in Florida.