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A New Poll Shows Who's Ahead in a Trump vs. Biden 2024 Rematch

AP Photo/Andrew Harnik

In October, a Harvard CAPS-Harris poll showed that former President Donald Trump would win in an election against President Joe Biden in 2024. Biden’s approval rating has been underwater for months, and Trump announced his candidacy for president after the midterm elections. Now, another poll is showing that Trump would win against Biden in 2024. 

Former President Donald Trump leads current President Joe Biden in a hypothetical 2024 presidential rematch, a new poll released by Emerson College shows. 

In the findings, 44 percent of respondents said they would support Trump in the 2024 election, while 41 percent said they would support Biden. Ten percent of respondents said they’d rather support someone else. Four percent of respondents said they were “undecided.” 

In a Biden versus Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis 2024 matchup, 40 percent of respondents said they’d support Biden and 39 percent said they’d support DeSantis. In this scenario, 13 percent said they would support someone else and 9 percent said they were “undecided.” 

Emerson College noted that its last poll, Biden was ahead of Trump:

Since the November national poll, Trump’s support has increased by three percentage points, from 41% to 44% and Biden’s support has decreased by four percentage points, from 45% to 41%.

"“Biden has solidified his support among minority voters in his party, 72% of Hispanic Democratic voters and 75% of Black Democratic voters think Biden should be the nominee in 2024, whereas 51% of White Democratic voters think someone else should be the Democratic nominee next year," Spencer Kimball, the executive director of Emerson College Polling, said.

In the Republican primary, Trump leads DeSantis, 55 percent to 29 percent. 

“There is an age and educational divide within the Republican primary. Young Republican voters under 35 break for Trump over DeSantis, 73% to 13%, whereas college educated voters break for DeSantis over Trump 40% to 33%," Kimball said.

In the findings, the economy continues to be a top issue for voters.

The economy remains the top issue for the plurality of US voters (43%), followed by healthcare (13%), immigration (11%), “threats to democracy” (10%), and crime (7%). Since November, the share of voters who identify the economy as the top issue facing the US has decreased by three percentage points, from 46% to 43%, whereas healthcare increased by seven percentage points, from 6% to 13%.

“Regionally, voters’ perception of the most important issue facing the nation varies," Kimball concluded. "Voters in the South are most concerned about the economy, as 50% of voters rate it as the top issue facing the nation, compared to 33% of those in the Northeast, 45% of those in the Midwest, and 39% of those in the West. Voters in the Northeast are more concerned than those in the rest of the nation about ‘threats to democracy’ at 16%, compared to 8% of those in the South and Midwest.”

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