Tipsheet CA Senate Race Slipping Away? Not So Fast... Guy Benson | October 20, 2010 12:02 PM An image for those in the media who continue to insist that the California Senate race is in the bag for Senator M'am (including Bill O'Reilly, who all but declared the contest settled on Fox last night): Real Clear Politics ranks this race correctly: A pure toss up. UPDATE: Team Carly passes along her new ad, which will air statewide -- Another strong tag line: "Your agenda, not mine."