Tipsheet

New Poll: Clinton Leads in SD

I would be very surprised if Hillary beats Obama in SD.  But check out this poll, reported in the Argus Leader.

As the Fix reports:

"American Research Group released surveys yesterday in both states. In South Dakota, ARG had Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) ahead 60 percent to 34 percent over Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.); in Montana, the ARG poll put Obama ahead 48 percent to 44 percent.

Strategists for both candidates don't buy those numbers, however, believing that Obama is comfortably ahead in Montana and more narrowly in the lead in South Dakota.

It's up to you to figure out who's right. As always, we want the correct order of finish (with percentages) in each state. Closest to the pin in each wins an official Fix t-shirt. Another t-shirt is up for grabs for the person who most accurately predicts the dominant story line coming out of tonight's voting."

... What would happen if, by some miracle, she did win tonight?