Tipsheet

CT Gov Race Now A Toss-up, Too?

First the Senate race tightened in a major way, now it appears that Democrats have a brand new Nutmeg State headache on their hands:

Fueled by a shift among independent Connecticut likely voters, Republican candidate for governor Tom Foley now has 42 percent to Democrat Dan Malloy's 45 percent, making the race too close to call, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 50 - 41 percent Malloy lead in a September 15 likely voter survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll, conducted by live interviewers.

In today's survey, 12 percent of likely voters are undecided and 22 percent of voters who name a candidate say they could change their mind by Election Day. Malloy leads 86 - 8 percent among Democrats. Foley leads 82 - 9 percent among Republicans. Independent voters shift from a 42 - 42 percent split September 15 to 44 - 38 percent for Foley today.

Ed Morrissey brought this poll to my attention when I appeared on his internet radio show this afternoon, and we were both gobsmacked by the rapidly shifting momentum in both statewide CT races.  Just as McMahon's surge against Blumenthal will give the DSCC fits, the DGA may need to pour additional resources into this race, which they long considered safe.