Tipsheet Markets Indicate Sweep of NJGov, VAGov, and NY-23 Kevin Glass | November 03, 2009 12:54 PM The InTrade political betting markets, empirically a very good predictor of elections, are now trading Bob McDonnell with a 98.5% chance to win the Virginia governor's race, Chris Christie with a 56% chance to win the New Jersey governor's race, and Doug Hoffman with an 80% chance to win the NY-23 special congressional election.I'm still pessimistic on the Christie race, but am getting a good feeling about the GOP's chances pretty much everywhere today.