For Romney's Chances, It's The Economy, Stupid!

Posted: Jan 22, 2008 9:48 AM

Under normal circumstances, I would say that John McCain has the advantage in Florida.  But but today's economic news is sure to have an impact on the upcoming Primary.

This hurts McCain who -- though advised by fiscal conservatives like Jack Kemp, Phil Gramm, and Tom Coburn -- admits the economy is not his bailiwick.  McCain is far better off talking about the surge than about the economy.

Mitt Romney probably benefits from the economy overtaking security as the top issue.  He is a turn-around expert who helped turn around struggling companies for Bain Capital, and also turned around the Winter Olympics.  And there is no doubt that he was comfortable talking about the economy in Michigan a few weeks ago ...

Romney is already taking advantage of today's economic news by launching a new commercial, titled: "Conservative Change."  The first line of the ad is: 

GOVERNOR MITT ROMNEY:  "Today our economy is slowing.  Many feel anxious about the future.

... But there may still be some very good news for McCain.  A good percentage of Florida Republican voters (literally hundreds of thousands of Republicans) have already voted.  According to Survey USA, McCain is leading among those who voted early.