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Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Thomas Sowell :: Townhall.com Columnist
A Political "Solution": Part II
by Thomas Sowell
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Estimates of how much money a government program will cost are notoriously unreliable. Estimates of the cost of the current bailout in the financial markets run into the hundreds of billions of dollars, and some say it may reach or exceed a trillion.

Many people have trouble even forming some notion of what such numbers as billion and trillion mean. One way to get some idea of the magnitude of a trillion is to ask: How long ago was a trillion seconds?

A trillion seconds ago, no one on this planet could read and write. Neither the Roman Empire nor the ancient Chinese dynasties had yet come into existence. None of the founders of the world's great religions today had yet been born.

That's what a trillion means. Put a dollar sign in front of it and that's what the current bailout may cost.

Will that money be spent wisely? It is theoretically possible. But don't bet the rent money on it or you could end up among the homeless.

Whenever there is a lot of the taxpayers' money around, politicians are going to find ways to spend it that will increase their chances of getting re-elected by giving goodies to voters.

The longer it takes Congress to pass the bailout bill, the more of those goodies are going to find their way into the legislation. Speed is important, not just to protect the financial markets but to protect the taxpayers from having more of their hard-earned money squandered by politicians.

Regardless of what Barack Obama or John McCain may say they are going to do as president, after a trillion dollars has been taken off the top there is going to be a lot less left in the federal treasury for them to do anything with.

Already Senator Christopher Dodd is talking about extending the bailout from the financial firms to homeowners facing mortgage foreclosures-- as if the point of all this is to play Santa Claus.

The huge federal debts that we already have are the ghosts of Christmas past.

Financial institutions are not being bailed out as a favor to them or their stockholders. In fact, stockholders have come out worse off after some bailouts. Continued...

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About The Author
Thomas Sowell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institute and author of The Housing Boom and Bust.
 
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©Creators Syndicate
CDS
Checking the data at the federal reserve you will find that there hasn't been a significant reduction in corporate paper or lending in the past two weeks. Therefore, one must wonder why Paulson and Bernanke have created this crisis. I think it is the over the counter credit default swap market which is a totally unregulated off balance sheet $36 trillion problem. This is what caused the demise of AIG and not lending. AIG was selling the CDS for all sorts of companies. Suddenly we had a market downturn and AIG was unprepared. The $700 billion is insufficient and they will be back for more, but the federal government won't have sufficient credit to do the job. This will be the real crisis and I hope your savings won't be in dollars.

Let's Try Doing Nothing
I think we need to tough this out and let the chips fall where they may. If we believe in capitalism and the free market let's see what this "major correction" brings to pass. It should end all this freewheeling credit and get us back to real enterprise.
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