The Democratic Party’s future in the White House has been bleak for a while.
Before President Joe Biden was forced out of the 2024 race, Democrats’ chances of winning the election were too far gone to recover. Insert Vice President Kamala Harris to pick up the pieces, and the dominos fall again.
While Harris is not yet the Democratic nominee, a survey of delegates from The Associated Press found that the vice president has enough support to secure the nomination, leaving her with the ticket despite some of her colleagues not wanting her in office.
According to Poly Market, former President Donald Trump has a 60 percent chance of winning the gold in November, while Harris has only a 38 percent chance.
In addition, the poll also shows Trump outperforming Harris in several swing states, which will be pivotal to winning the election.
- North Carolina - Trump 69-31 percent
- Georgia - Trump 61-39 percent
- Nevada - Trump 62-38 percent
- Arizona - Trump 60-40 percent
- Pennsylvania: Trump 55-45 percent
- Wisconsin: Trump 51-49 percent
All but Michigan, a state seen as a "must have" for Democrats, is Trump defeating Harris.
However, the two candidates are in a dead heat in the state.
A Fox News poll found that in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, Trump and Harris each have 49 percent of the state’s support. Broken down by demographic, men and whites without a college degree are more likely to vote for Trump than Harris.
Voters over the age of 45 prefer Trump, while voters under the age of 35 are more likely to choose Harris. The economy is one of voters’ top concerns, shortly followed by immigration—both of which Trump has excellent records on from his time in office.
However, the Biden-Harris Administration, not so much.
Harris, who plans to focus much of her campaign on abortion and women’s rights, is only 16 percent of Michigan's concern in the crucial swing state. In 2020, Biden won the state by 2.78 percentage points and received 50.62 percent of the vote. Four years into his presidency, 56 percent of voters disapprove of his job.
The election will be close and competitive, including and especially in this must-win battleground state.
Meanwhile, the Senate Opportunity Fund found that Americans blame Harris for Biden's policies.
When asked if “Kamala Harris’ record is the Biden Administration’s record over the last four years," the majority of respondents, 68 percent, agreed-- only 19 percent disagreed.
They were then asked if they agree or disagree with the statement that "Harris is no different than Joe Biden." 66 percent agreed, while only 27 percent disagreed.