|
Week of June 16
|
Forecast
|
Prior Observation
|
Consensus |
|
June 16 |
|||
|
NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
15.3 |
19.01 |
15.0 |
|
Industrial Production - May |
0.4% |
-0.6 |
0.5 |
|
Capacity Utilization |
78.9 |
78.6 |
78.9 |
|
Manufacturing Output |
0.4 |
-0.4 |
0.5 |
|
NAHB Index - June |
47 |
45 |
47 |
|
June 17 |
|||
|
Consumer Price Index - May |
0.1% |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
Core CPI |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
Housing Starts - May |
1.050M |
1.072 |
1.036 |
|
Building Permits |
1.065 |
1.080 |
1.062 |
|
June 18 |
|||
|
Current Account - Q1 |
-$103.3B |
81.1 |
-99.8 |
|
June 19 |
|||
|
Initial Unemployment Claims |
314K |
317 |
313 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Survey Index |
13.5 |
15.4 |
13 |
|
Leading Indicators |
0.6% |
0.4 |
0.6 |
|
June 20 |
|||
|
Week of June 23 |
|||
|
June 23 |
|||
|
Existing Home Sales - May |
4.80M |
4.65 |
4.71 |
|
Chicago Fed National Activity Index - May |
0.5 |
0.34 |
|
|
June 24 |
|||
|
FHFA Home Price Index - April |
0.5% |
0.7 |
|
|
S&P Case/Shiller Index - April |
|||
|
Twenty City M/M |
1.5% |
0.9 |
1.2 |
|
Twenty City M/M - SA |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
|
Twenty City Y/Y |
11.4 |
12.4 |
11.8 |
|
New Home Sales - May |
457K |
433 |
450 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
83.0 |
83 |
83 |
|
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
6.0 |
7.0 |
|
|
June 25 |
|||
|
Durable Goods Sales - May |
0.2% |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
GDP - Q1 (f) |
-1. 6% |
-1.0 |
-1.6 |
|
GDP Implicit Price Deflator |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
|
June 26 |
|||
|
Personal Income - May |
0.3% |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
Personal Spending |
0.4 |
-0.1 |
0.4 |
|
June 27 |
|||
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - June (r) |
81.3 |
81.2 |
82.4 |
|
Peter Morici is a professor at the University of Maryland Smith School of Business, former Chief Economist at the U.S. International Trade Commission, and five-time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster award. |