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Tipsheet

We're Looking at Another Forecast Change Favoring Republicans in Critical House Race

https://derrickanderson.com/

With less a month away from Election Day, we're still seeing forecast changes, including in critical House seats. With Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-VA) retiring to run for governor in 2025, it's an open seat for Virginia's 7th Congressional District. While the forecasts once favored Eugene Vindman, the Democratic nominee in his race against Republican Derrick Anderson, Cook Political Report just recently moved the race into the "Toss-Up" column.

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Anderson was quick to commemorate the race change, with several posts over X, including a pinned post from Wednesday. 

Anderson has been hitting Vindman for his refusal to participate in televised debates and for relying on fake polls to boost his debate performance in those for which he did participate. There's also been concerns with Vindman's military rank and record. The Republican nominee has appeared to numerous local debates now, while his Democratic opponent has declined to show up. 

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The race change comes as Anderson released a new ad against Vindman, highlighting his claims about his rank as a colonel and having "used weapons on the battlefield."

Vindman has had his own controversies on his own, including and especially when it comes to his sister-in-law, Rachel Vindman doubling down on her jokes about the assassination attempts against former and potentially future President Donald Trump. Rachel, and her husband Alexander Vindman, who is the candidate's twin brother, both made the political violence directed against Trump about themselves. 

Cook Political Report also had good news for incumbent Republican Rep. Tom Kean Jr. of New Jersey's 7th Congressional District, as his race moved from "Toss-Up" to "Lean Republican."

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