Looking Forward

Jonathan Garthwaite
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Posted: Jan 27, 2008 12:38 PM
The Obama campaign enjoyed its victory last night, looked past Florida, and pointed to Feb. 5th as the next battlefield, so it's worth looking at what Feb 5th looks like for Obama.   Out of 21 states, Obama leads in polling in only one -- his home state of Illinois.

Similarly, of Feb 5 states, Romney has polled ahead of McCain in only his home state of Massachusetts.   With Giuliani more likely to crash and burn from a disappointing Florida result (convential wisdom: his voters go to McCain), Romney seems to need a big Florida win to give him enough of a push to compete well against Sen. McCain on Feb 5th.