Tom Perriello (D-VA) Trails By 2...or 26

Posted: Sep 08, 2010 7:24 AM
It depends on which poll you believe.  The 24-point disparity is an astonishingly wide split for competing polls taken in the same district over a similar period of time.  The latest News 7/Survey USA poll shows the incumbent trailing Republican Robert Hurt 61-35, while one of yesterday's "poll dump" surveys from the DCCC pegs the challenger's lead at just 2 points.

Each poll claims a 4-to-5 point margin on error.  The results will speak for themselves on November 2nd, but it's pretty clear that somebody is way off here. 

If Perriello ends up losing badly, the DCCC may have a plausible defense prepared: "Did you think we said our poll had a four-to-five point margin of error?  No, we actually said it had a forty-five point margin of error."