Check out this surprising and freshly-released Mason-Dixon Florida survey:
Why does this matter? Because it sure looks like Rubio’s running for president, that’s why. Guy has already written about his impending gamble -- but this survey also suggests he may, in fact, be making a mistake. Is he?
Then again, recent polls show he has the potential to be a mover-and-shaker in the still-developing field, and for what it’s worth, I doubt Rubio cares a whole lot what his constituents think; on the contrary, running for president is a profoundly personal decision. As Guy wrote in his post: “He undoubtedly considered and agonized over all of the evidence, hypotheticals and dynamics, and has apparently arrived at the conclusion that 2016 is his moment.” In other words, no one understands the stakes better than he does.
Even so, he begins his candidacy, if he does jump in, knowing full well that Republicans in his home state, by a three-to-one margin, want him to keep his day job. That statistic may not change his mind, of course, but perhaps it will raise concerns that the career decision Rubio's reportedly ready to make is the right one.