MADRID (AP) — Spain will end up with an equally fragmented parliament if a third national election is held to try to break the country's political deadlock following two inconclusive votes since December, according to a new government-run poll released Monday.
The much-watched CIS survey said the conservative Popular Party, in power since 2011 and now running a caretaker government, would win 32.5 percent of the vote, marginally less than the 33 percent it garnered in the June 26 election, in which it won 137 seats but fell short of a majority in the 350-seat parliament.
The leading opposition Socialists would win 23.1 percent, up from 22.7 percent, while the far-left Unidos Podemos alliance would stay third place with 19.6 percent, down from 21.1 percent.
Business friendly Ciudadanos would stay in fourth place with 12 percent, down from 13 percent in June.
The CIS said the poll had a margin of error of 2 percentage points. It said 2, 479 people were quizzed in person from July 1-11.
The December and June elections both resulted in hung parliaments after the rise of Podemos and Ciudadanos smashed decades of dominance by the Popular Party and the Socialists.
Popular party leader and acting Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy is trying to gather support to win an investiture vote, but so far no major party besides his own is willing to back him. His Popular Party also won the most seats in the December vote, but he renounced the opportunity to try to form a government as he lacked sufficient outside support.
As it stands, only Ciudadanos has said it is willing to abstain in a vote on Rajoy but with the Socialists, Unidos Podemos and other smaller parties determined to vote against him, he has no chance of getting through.