Poll sees ruling AKP winning large majority in Turkish election

Reuters News
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Posted: Oct 29, 2015 8:59 AM

ISTANBUL (Reuters) - Turkey's ruling AK Party has increased its support by six percentage points ahead of a snap election on Sunday, pollster Adil Gur said on Thursday, enough to form a single-party majority after falling short in a June poll.

The forecast by Gur's A&G Research puts AKP votes well above those reported by other recent polls, which generally show the party slightly increasing its share but still unable to win enough votes to form a government on its own.

The AKP lost the majority it had enjoyed since 2002 in a June 7 election. After failing to form a coalition, Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu formed an interim cabinet.

The country has since been wracked with violence. A 30-year-old conflict with Kurdish militants was reignited, and Islamic State is blamed for a bomb attack in the capital Ankara that killed 102 people.

"While everyone is expecting a coalition, our result was a surprise. Respondents said they want a single-party government for stability and the economy," Gur told Reuters. "It will not be a borderline majority. Between 285 and 290 (AKP) lawmakers are to win" in the 550-seat parliament.

"After the June 7 election, voters do not see a possibility of a coalition with the AKP."

A&G conducted its poll of 4,536 people on Oct. 24-25. AKP is seen winning 47.2 percent, compared with 40.8 percent in June, followed by the center-left Republican People's Party (CHP) at 25.3 percent, compared with 24.9 percent in the last vote.

The Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) is seen losing the most number of votes, falling to 13.5 percent from 16.2 percent. The pro-Kurdish Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP) is forecast to take 12.2 percent, compared with 13.1 percent in June, but will win more seats than the MHP, Gur said.

(Reporting by Ayla Jean Yackley; editing by Ralph Boulton)