Latest developments in debt ceiling standoff

AP News
Posted: Jul 21, 2011 6:19 PM
Latest developments in debt ceiling standoff

Congress has until Aug. 2 to raise the federal borrowing limit or the government will run out of money and possibly default on its debt. House Republicans say they won't raise the debt limit without equal spending cuts. President Barack Obama and Democrats insist that higher revenues must be included.

Thursday's developments: House Speaker John Boehner predicted a majority of House Republicans will end up supporting some kind of compromise to avoid a government default. Democrats insisted higher tax revenue be part of a deal. And both sides disputed reports that Obama and Boehner were near an agreement on a grand bargain. Hopes for a compromise ran into renewed resistance from Republicans opposed to higher taxes and Democrats hesitant to cut Medicare and other benefit programs. A new backup plan that would cut spending by $1 trillion or slightly more immediately and raise the debt limit by a similar amount appeared to be gaining momentum.

Markets react: News that European leaders were drawing up a new rescue plan for Greece and taking a broader approach to dealing with Europe's debt troubles drove markets higher as the Dow rose 152 points. Concerns about raising the U.S. debt limit seemed overshadowed by the news from Europe.

What's Next: The GOP's "cut, cap and balance" plan that passed the House faces likely rejection by the Democratic-controlled Senate on Friday or Saturday, to be followed by an unveiling of a fallback plan crafted by Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell to allow Obama to raise the debt ceiling. A separate bipartisan deficit-reduction plan that drew support from Republican senators earlier in the week appeared to be running into obstacles _ related to revenue measures.


Some background:

Q: What is the debt ceiling?

A: It's a legal limit on how much debt the government can accumulate. The government takes on debt two ways: It borrows money from investors by issuing Treasury bonds, and it borrows from itself, mostly from the Social Security trust fund, which comes from payroll taxes. Congress created the debt limit in 1917. It's unique to the United States. Most countries let their debts rise automatically when government spending outpaces tax revenue. Congress has increased the debt limit 10 times since 2001.

Q: What is the federal deficit, and how does it differ from the debt?

A: The deficit is how much government spending exceeds tax revenue during a year. Last year, the deficit was $1.29 trillion. The debt is the sum of deficits past and present. Right now, the national debt totals $14.3 trillion _ a ceiling set in 2010.

Q: Why is the prospect of not raising the debt ceiling so worrisome?

A: The government now borrows more than 40 cents of each dollar it spends. If the debt ceiling does not rise, the government would need to choose what to pay and what not, including benefits like Social Security, wages for the military or other bills. It also might delay interest payments on Treasury bonds. Any default could lead to financial panic weakening the country's credit rating, the dollar and the already hobbled economy. Interest rates would likely rise, increasing the cost of borrowing for the government and ordinary Americans.

Q: Who holds the $14.3 trillion in outstanding U.S. debt?

A: The U.S. government owes itself $4.6 trillion, mostly borrowed from Social Security revenues. The remaining $9.7 trillion is owed to investors in Treasury securities _ banks, pension funds, individual investors, state and local governments and foreign investors and governments. Nearly half of that _ $4.5 trillion _ is held by foreigners including China with $1.15 trillion and Japan with $907 billion.

Q: How did the debt grow from $5.8 trillion in 2001 to its current $14.3 trillion?

A: The biggest contributors to the nearly $9 trillion increase over a decade were:

_2001 and 2003 tax cuts under President George W. Bush: $1.6 trillion.

_Additional interest costs: $1.4 trillion.

_Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan: $1.3 trillion.

_Economic stimulus package under Obama: $800 billion.

_2010 tax cuts, a compromise by Obama and Republicans that extended jobless benefits and cut payroll taxes: $400 billion.

_2003 creation of Medicare's prescription drug benefit: $300 billion.

_2008 financial industry bailout: $200 billion.

_Hundreds of billions less in revenue than expected since the Great Recession began in December 2007.

_ Other spending increases in domestic, farm and defense programs, adding lesser amounts.